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Saturday 17 October

Saturday’s football predictions, tips and best odds

131 games on Saturday in 23 competitions. The biggest is Brentford v Liverpool at 15:00. 12 Tips this weekend.

Updated 23:19 · UK times

Big Games

Chosen by league, club size and whether there is a story: a Tip, or a gap between our model and the bookmakers.

How we choose these
Premier League logoPremier LeagueSat 15:00 tomorrow
Brentford crest
BrentfordDDDWD
v
LiverpoolW
Liverpool crest
If the result is
Brentford crestBrentford win
Draw
Liverpool crestLiverpool win
Our chancefrom our model
31%
25%
45%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Liverpool favourites at 45%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Serie A logoSerie ASat 14:00 tomorrow
Venezia crest
VeneziaDWWDW
v
NapoliLL
Napoli crest
If the result is
Venezia crestVenezia win
Draw
Napoli crestNapoli win
Our chancefrom our model
36%
26%
38%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Napoli favourites at 38%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Ligue 1Sat 19:45TIP tomorrow
TroyesLWWWL
v
LensWL
If the result is
Troyes win
Draw
Lens win
Our chancefrom our model
32%
25%
43%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Lens favourites at 43%.

OUR TIP1 Tip on this game Plus

18+ · Information, not advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware.org

Premier LeagueSat 12:30 tomorrow
EvertonDDDWD
v
ChelseaWW
If the result is
Everton win
Draw
Chelsea win
Our chancefrom our model
42%
25%
34%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Everton favourites at 42%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

La LigaSat 17:30 tomorrow
Real BetisW
v
BarcelonaWWWWW
If the result is
Real Betis win
Draw
Barcelona win
Our chancefrom our model
19%
21%
61%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Barcelona favourites at 61%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Premier LeagueSat 17:30 tomorrow
Newcastle UnitedWW
v
Aston VillaW
If the result is
Newcastle United win
Draw
Aston Villa win
Our chancefrom our model
38%
26%
36%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Newcastle United favourites at 38%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

BundesligaSat 17:30 tomorrow
Bayern MünchenWDWWD
v
RB LeipzigLW
If the result is
Bayern München win
Draw
RB Leipzig win
Our chancefrom our model
76%
15%
9%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Bayern München strong favourites at 76%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Premier LeagueSat 15:00TIP tomorrow
FulhamLLDDL
v
Hull CityDL
If the result is
Fulham win
Draw
Hull City win
Our chancefrom our model
53%
23%
24%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Fulham favourites at 53%.

OUR TIP1 Tip on this game Plus

18+ · Information, not advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware.org

1 of 8

Every game, biggest first

Grouped by league. Open Match Centre from any row. Tap a bell to follow a game.

Exchanges such as Betfair Exchange take commission from winnings. With this on, their prices are shown after commission. Live prices are always bookmakers only.

Our chance:Home winDrawAway winThe logo under each price is the bookmaker offering it.
Kick-offMatchOur chanceBest UK price
Premier League logo

Premier League

5 gamesAll Premier League predictions
12:30
Everton crestEvertonChelsea crestChelsea
Everton 42%422534
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:00
Manchester City crestManchester CityIpswich crestIpswich
Manchester City 66%661914
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:00
Brentford crestBrentfordLiverpool crestLiverpool
Liverpool 45%312545
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:00TIP
Fulham crestFulhamHull City crestHull City
Fulham 53%532324
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:30
Newcastle United crestNewcastle UnitedAston Villa crestAston Villa
Newcastle United 38%382636
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking

EFL Championship

11 gamesAll EFL Championship predictions
12:30
MillwallLincoln City
Millwall 37%372637
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
12:30
WatfordCharlton
Watford 46%462628
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
12:30
MiddlesbroughCardiff City
Middlesbrough 49%492327
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:00
NorwichPortsmouth
Norwich 54%542323
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:00
SwanseaWest Ham United
West Ham United 42%312742
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
Show 6 more EFL Championship games
13:00
EspanyolAtletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid 50%242550
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:15
VillarrealElche
Villarreal 60%602317
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:30
Real BetisBarcelona
Barcelona 61%192161
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00TIP
ValenciaAthletic Club
Athletic Club 45%292645
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
16:15
StrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain 62%172062
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
19:45
LilleStade Brestois 29
Lille 54%542522
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
19:45TIP
TroyesLens
Lens 43%322543
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:30
ADO Den HaagPSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven 46%322246
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
19:00
TelstarFeyenoord
Feyenoord 52%242452
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00TIP
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
Sparta Rotterdam 52%522424
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
Show 9 more competitions (28 games)

18+ · Prices are information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Where we differ from the bookmakers

The four biggest gaps on Saturday between our model’s chance and the best UK price. Our view, not advice.

See every gap with SportSignals+

18+ · Our view, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Our record, in public

Every Tip stays in the public record, including the ones that lose. The accuracy record counts every settled prediction we can verify.

Tips since Aug 2025+12.3%profit on stakes from 837 settled Tips, Aug 2025 to Oct 2026.
Tips, last 30 days+8.3%profit on stakes from 27 Tips, 16 Sep to 15 Oct. 13 won. No Tips 21 Sep to 9 Oct.
Results called right50.0%2,293 of 4,589 full-time results since 15 April 2026.

The figure above covers the whole published record. The current run, August 2026 to October 2026, is -10.2% across 97 settled tips since the model restarted. A run that short moves a long way on a few results, so read the two together.

Tips profit by monthProfit divided by stakes, settled Tips. No Tips in June and July 2026. October 2026 is to the 16th.
+14%Aug
+14%Sep
−16%Oct
+16%Nov
+8%Dec
+20%Jan
+0%Feb
+37%Mar
+34%Apr
+8%May
Jun
Jul
−23%Aug
−16%Sep
+25%Oct
20252026

Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org

Saturday at a glance

Saturday 17 October: the Big Games at a glance
MatchKick-offMost likelyOur chanceBest price
Brentford v Liverpool15:00Liverpool win45%Checking prices
Venezia v Napoli14:00Napoli win38%Checking prices
Troyes v Lens19:45Lens win43%Checking prices
Everton v Chelsea12:30Everton win42%Checking prices
Real Betis v Barcelona17:30Barcelona win61%Checking prices
Newcastle United v Aston Villa17:30Newcastle United win38%Checking prices
Bayern München v RB Leipzig17:30Bayern München win76%Checking prices
Fulham v Hull City15:00Fulham win53%Checking prices

18+ · Prices are information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Questions

How are these predictions made?

Our model turns team ratings and match data into a chance for each result. The accuracy record shows how often it has been right.

What does “We differ” mean?

Our model gives a result at least 8 points more chance than the best bookmaker price suggests. It is our view, not advice.

Are these the best odds?

They are the best prices we found at UK-licensed bookmakers when the page was updated. Prices move, so check before you bet.

Do I need an account?

No. Predictions, prices and the Free Pick are open to everyone. A free account saves your teams across devices.