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Eredivisie · MW9 Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, RotterdamRef: Serdar Gözübüyük
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II result, stats and report

Sparta Rotterdam
Won · xG 3.16
3 – 2
FT 07:05
Lost · xG 1.45
Willem II
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: ADO Den Haag v Sparta Rotterdam · Sat 7 Nov · Willem II v PEC Zwolle · Fri 6 Nov
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Who won Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?

Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II, full time in the Eredivisie. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

Sparta Rotterdam won it 3–2

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 07:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Sparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem II

Sparta Rotterdam host Willem II on Saturday evening with both sides desperately short of wins and, frankly, short of basic defensive standards. This one has goals written all over it, and not in a good way for either backline.

Key Takeaways
Result

Sparta Rotterdam beat Willem II 3-2 at home.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Sparta Rotterdam 3.16 to Willem II 1.45 on expected goals.

First Goal
T
17'⚽
Tonny Vilhena
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Sparta Rotterdam 3.16 xGWillem II 1.45 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Sparta Rotterdam to win

52%Matched

Result

Sparta Rotterdam3:2Willem II

Sparta Rotterdam v WIL

Our model called Sparta Rotterdam to win at 52%. Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Sparta Rotterdam beat Willem II 3-2 at Het Kasteel in an Eredivisie match that played to form. Our model backed a Sparta win at 52 percent probability, and the pick landed. Vilhena opened the scoring for Willem II in the 17th minute, but Toornstra levelled before half-time and Martes put Sparta ahead early in the second half. Both sides had found the net in each of their last five outings, and that pattern held as Willem II pulled one back late. Sparta held on for the three points. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Sparta Rotterdam v Willem II · Eredivisie ·

More from this competition: Eredivisie predictions · Eredivisie odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Milan ZonneveldSparta Rotterdam★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.1
  2. Lushendry Edward MartesSparta Rotterdam1 goal · 90 min7.3
  3. Isaac BabadiSparta Rotterdam90 min7.2
  4. Robin van CruijsenSparta Rotterdam83 min7.2
  5. Maxime DelangheWIL90 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Sparta Rotterdam win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.8%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Sparta Rotterdam
51.8%
Draw
24.1%
WIL
24.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.8%
Over 2.5 goals
54.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Sparta Rotterdam win was the highest probability; the match result was Sparta Rotterdam win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP

SportSignals Tip settlement

Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Eredivisie· published 03:55lost
Willem II to win

Logged at 4.80 with Grosvenor

Grosvenor offered 4.80 when we checked at 01:05 on 17 Oct.

Publication provenance
  • Immutable Tips ledger · record 194157ad-0f8e-4940-9552-9634479100e3 · model publication version not recorded

Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.

Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Willem II, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 32 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Willem II, the final recorded goal situation matched 26 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Sparta Rotterdam, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 32 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Sparta Rotterdam, the final recorded goal situation matched 16 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II, landing 2 times across 11 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 5/11recorded league meetings saw both teams score (45.5%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 43league matches away from home winless for Willem II.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Sparta Rotterdam scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Willem II scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Sparta Rotterdam have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
    Sparta Rotterdam beat WIL 3-2 in the Eredivisie at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Tonny Vilhena opened the scoring in the 17th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Tonny Vilhena (17'), Jens Toornstra (39'), Lushendry Martes (50'), Milan Zonneveld (57'), Uriël van Aalst (68').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 9 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Serdar Gözübüyük officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Sparta Rotterdam vs WIL kicked off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Sparta Rotterdam play ADO Den Haag on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. WIL play Willem II on Friday, 6 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.