The calculation sequence
- Confirm the exact market and settlement period.
- Record the accepted or executable price and stake.
- Convert to decimal odds if another format is displayed.
- Calculate gross return, profit and raw implied probability.
- For a complete market, calculate overround using every selection.
- Keep market conversions separate from a model probability.
DraftKings' terminology guide is one current operator reference for common formats. OpenStax provides the probability terminology.
Product-specific routes
Promotional and timing features need current first-party terms. Use boosted odds, Best Odds Guaranteed, ante-post odds or Starting Price only for the matching product.
Evidence boundary
Quoted odds are observable payoffs. A "fair" probability is an estimate or de-margin convention and should be labelled accordingly. Calibration guidance explains one way to evaluate probabilistic forecasts. No page in this collection treats one result, market movement or promotional label as proof of value.
Assumptions and limitations
This pillar is educational and uses illustrative prices unless a dated first-party source is placed beside a product claim. Operator rules, availability, limits and settlement take precedence over examples.
