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Thursday 22 October

Thursday’s football predictions, tips and best odds

40 games today in 4 competitions. The biggest is Jagiellonia Białystok v Anderlecht at 20:00, where our model and the bookmakers disagree. 18 Tips this weekend.

Updated 04:35 · UK times

Big Games

Chosen by league, club size and whether there is a story: a Tip, or a gap between our model and the bookmakers.

How we choose these
UEFA Europa League logoUEFA Europa LeagueThu 20:00WE DIFFER in 15h 24m
Jagiellonia Białystok crest
Jagiellonia BiałystokDWWLW
v
AnderlechtWDWWW
Anderlecht crest
If the result is
Jagiellonia Białystok crestJagiellonia Białystok win+9 pts
Draw
Anderlecht crestAnderlecht win
Our chancefrom our model
41%
23%
36%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
32%
28%
43%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives Jagiellonia Białystok a 41% chance of winning. The best price, 3.10, implies 32%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa League logoUEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45WE DIFFER in 13h 9m
OFI crest
OFIWWWL
v
Bayer LeverkusenWDWWW
Bayer Leverkusen crest
If the result is
OFI crestOFI win+12 pts
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen win
Our chancefrom our model
21%
21%
58%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
9%
13%
81%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives OFI a 21% chance of winning. The best price, 11.50, implies 9%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu 20:00WE DIFFER in 15h 24m
Sporting BragaDWWL
v
GentWDDWW
If the result is
Sporting Braga win
Draw
Gent win+10 pts
Our chancefrom our model
41%
25%
34%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
52%
29%
24%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives Gent a 34% chance of winning. The best price, 4.20, implies 24%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45WE DIFFER in 13h 9m
FerencvárosiDWWWW
v
TorreenseWL
If the result is
Ferencvárosi win
Draw
Torreense win+9 pts
Our chancefrom our model
56%
23%
20%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
74%
19%
11%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives Torreense a 20% chance of winning. The best price, 9.50, implies 11%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu 20:00WE DIFFER in 15h 24m
AjaxWDWWL
v
AtalantaDWW
If the result is
Ajax win+11 pts
Draw
Atalanta win
Our chancefrom our model
58%
20%
23%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
47%
25%
32%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives Ajax a 58% chance of winning. The best price, 2.15, implies 47%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu 17:45WE DIFFER in 13h 9m
JablonecWWLWL
v
BrightonW
If the result is
Jablonec win
Draw+10 pts
Brighton win
Our chancefrom our model
32%
24%
44%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
8%
14%
80%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives the draw a 24% chance. The best price, 7.00, implies 14%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 20:00 in 15h 24m
Omonia NicosiaW
v
BenficaWWWLW
If the result is
Omonia Nicosia win
Draw
Benfica win
Our chancefrom our model
29%
24%
47%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
12%
19%
74%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Benfica favourites at 47%. The best price, 1.36, implies 74%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45WE DIFFER in 13h 9m
Sturm GrazDL
v
MarseilleLL
If the result is
Sturm Graz win+8 pts
Draw
Marseille win
Our chancefrom our model
36%
23%
41%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
28%
27%
50%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives Sturm Graz a 36% chance of winning. The best price, 3.60, implies 28%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

1 of 8

Every game, biggest first

Grouped by league. Open Match Centre from any row. Tap a bell to follow a game.

Exchanges such as Betfair Exchange take commission from winnings. With this on, their prices are shown after commission. Live prices are always bookmakers only.

Our chance:Home winDrawAway winThe logo under each price is the bookmaker offering it.
Kick-offMatchOur chanceBest UK price
UEFA Europa League logo

UEFA Europa League

18 gamesAll UEFA Europa League predictions
17:45
Lech Poznań crestLech PoznańSunderland crestSunderland
Lech Poznań 44%442234
17:45
Dinamo Zagreb crestDinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen crestNEC Nijmegen
Dinamo Zagreb 59%592020
17:45
Union Saint-Gilloise crestUnion Saint-GilloiseHapoel Be'er Sheva crestHapoel Be'er Sheva
Union Saint-Gilloise 54%542323
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45WE DIFFER
Ferencvárosi crestFerencvárosiTorreense crestTorreense
Ferencvárosi 56%562320
17:45WE DIFFER
Sturm Graz crestSturm GrazMarseille crestMarseille
Marseille 41%362341
17:45
Juventus crestJuventusRennes crestRennes
Juventus 55%552123
17:45WE DIFFER
OFI crestOFIBayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen 58%212158
17:45
Ararat-Armenia crestArarat-ArmeniaAZ Alkmaar crestAZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar 47%312247
20:00
Celtic crestCelticCelta Vigo crestCelta Vigo
Celtic 58%582418
20:00
Celje crestCeljeSalzburg crestSalzburg
Salzburg 56%232156
20:00WE DIFFER
Jagiellonia Białystok crestJagiellonia BiałystokAnderlecht crestAnderlecht
Jagiellonia Białystok 41%412336
20:00
Olympiacos F.C. crestOlympiacos F.C.Sparta Praha crestSparta Praha
Olympiacos F.C. 48%482528
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Omonia Nicosia crestOmonia NicosiaBenfica crestBenfica
Benfica 47%292447
20:00
Viktoria Plzeň crestViktoria PlzeňLevski Sofia crestLevski Sofia
Viktoria Plzeň 45%452530
20:00
Bournemouth crestBournemouthAC Milan crestAC Milan
AC Milan 36%352936
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Lillestrøm crestLillestrømReal Sociedad crestReal Sociedad
Real Sociedad 42%342442
20:00
Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaşCrystal Palace crestCrystal Palace
Beşiktaş 65%651817
20:00
1899 Hoffenheim crest1899 HoffenheimLyon crestLyon
1899 Hoffenheim 41%412435

Major League Soccer

1 gameAll Major League Soccer predictions
  • Cincinnati2–1DC UnitedCalled right

UEFA Europa Conference League

18 gamesAll UEFA Europa Conference League predictions
15:30
KairatPanathinaikos
Panathinaikos 38%372538
17:45
GetafeLugano
Lugano 55%202555
17:45WE DIFFER
Crvena ZvezdaFC København
Crvena Zvezda 56%562123
17:45WE DIFFER
JablonecBrighton
Brighton 44%322444
17:45
Pafos FCRiga
Pafos FC 42%422434
17:45
Inter Club d'EscaldesUniversitatea Craiova
Inter Club d'Escaldes 36%362836
17:45
FC Iberia 1999Mjällby
Mjällby 38%372538
17:45WE DIFFER
NordsjællandCSKA Sofia
Nordsjælland 53%532324
17:45WE DIFFER
Kauno ŽalgirisBrann
Brann 45%302545
17:45
TrabzonsporHearts
Trabzonspor 47%472331
20:00WE DIFFER
AGFEgnatia Rrogozhinë
AGF 49%492527
20:00
FC MidtjyllandSint-Truiden
FC Midtjylland 53%532324
20:00
ThunHajduk Split
Hajduk Split 45%322345
20:00WE DIFFER
Lincoln Red ImpsTwente
Twente 57%202357
20:00
MonacoSC Freiburg
Monaco 47%472330
20:00WE DIFFER
AjaxAtalanta
Ajax 58%582023
20:00WE DIFFER
Sporting BragaGent
Sporting Braga 41%412534
20:00
Borac Banja LukaKuPS
Borac Banja Luka 53%532423
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking

Saudi Pro League

3 gamesAll Saudi Pro League predictions
14:40
Al HazmAl-Fayha
Al Hazm 38%382834
15:45
Al FatehAl Shabab
Al Shabab 54%232354
19:00
Al AhliAl Khaleej
Al Ahli 72%721711
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking

18+ · Prices are information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Where we differ from the bookmakers

The four biggest gaps today between our model’s chance and the best UK price. Our view, not advice.

See every gap with SportSignals+
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu 17:45Chance of Crvena Zvezda winning
Our model56%
Bookmakers43%
Best price 2.35
UEFA Europa League · Thu 17:45Chance of OFI winning
Our model21%
Bookmakers9%
Best price 11.50
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu 20:00Chance of Egnatia Rrogozhinë winning
Our model27%
Bookmakers15%
Best price 6.50
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu 20:00Chance of Lincoln Red Imps winning
Our model20%
Bookmakers8%
Best price 12.00

18+ · Our view, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Our record, in public

Every Tip stays in the public record, including the ones that lose. The accuracy record counts every settled prediction we can verify.

Tips since Aug 2025+12.5%profit on stakes from 847 settled Tips, Aug 2025 to Oct 2026.
Tips, last 30 days+19.8%profit on stakes from 32 Tips, 22 Sep to 21 Oct. 15 won. No Tips 22 Sep to 9 Oct.
Results called right50.1%2,422 of 4,837 full-time results since 15 April 2026.

The figure above covers the whole published record. The current run, August 2026 to October 2026, is -6.2% across 107 settled tips since the model restarted. A run that short moves a long way on a few results, so read the two together.

Tips profit by monthProfit divided by stakes, settled Tips. No Tips in June and July 2026. October 2026 is to the 19th.
+14%Aug
+14%Sep
−16%Oct
+16%Nov
+8%Dec
+20%Jan
+0%Feb
+37%Mar
+34%Apr
+8%May
Jun
Jul
−18%Aug
−16%Sep
+20%Oct
20252026

Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org

Big Games at a glance

Thursday 22 October: the Big Games at a glance
MatchKick-offMost likelyOur chanceBest price
Jagiellonia Białystok v Anderlecht20:00Jagiellonia Białystok win41%3.10
OFI v Bayer Leverkusen17:45Bayer Leverkusen win58%1.23
Sporting Braga v Gent20:00Sporting Braga win41%1.91
Ferencvárosi v Torreense17:45Ferencvárosi win56%1.36
Ajax v Atalanta20:00Ajax win58%2.15
Jablonec v Brighton17:45Brighton win44%1.25
Omonia Nicosia v Benfica20:00Benfica win47%1.36
Sturm Graz v Marseille17:45Marseille win41%2.00 Bwin

18+ · Prices are information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Questions

How are these predictions made?

Our model turns team ratings and match data into a chance for each result. The accuracy record shows how often it has been right.

What does “We differ” mean?

Our model gives a result at least 8 points more chance than the best bookmaker price suggests. It is our view, not advice.

Are these the best odds?

They are the best prices we found at UK-licensed bookmakers when the page was updated. Prices move, so check before you bet.

Do I need an account?

No. Predictions, prices and the Free Pick are open to everyone. A free account saves your teams across devices.