Today's football card: predictions and best odds
1 fixture for today. Predictions and eligible sportsbook prices are point-in-time data.
Today's card fixtures
- Deportivo Riestra v Boca Juniors, 23:30: open match centreArgentine Liga ProfesionalModel predictionBoca Juniors to win43.3%No TipBest 1X2 odds at captureHome · Deportivo Riestra4/1SmarketsDraw · Draw2/1bet365Away · Boca Juniors27/25Smarkets
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Eligible prices for United Kingdom. Every price is attributed to the sportsbook that supplied it.
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1 match pricedComparing Deportivo Riestra versus Boca Juniors.
Best price per outcome
- bet365Home10/3Draw2/1★ BestAwayEvens
- SmarketsHome4/1★ BestDraw2/1★ BestAway27/25★ Best
- BetfairHome15/4Draw9/5Away19/20
- William HillHome18/5Draw9/5Away19/20
- Paddy PowerHome7/2Draw7/4Away10/11
- BetwayHome15/4Draw9/5Away19/20
- Sky BetHome10/3Draw17/10Away10/11
- CoralHome7/2Draw2/1★ BestAwayEvens
- BetVictorHome18/5Draw19/10AwayEvens
| Bookmaker | Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 10/3 | 2/1★ Best | Evens |
| Smarkets | 4/1★ Best | 2/1★ Best | 27/25★ Best |
| Betfair | 15/4 | 9/5 | 19/20 |
| William Hill | 18/5 | 9/5 | 19/20 |
| Paddy Power | 7/2 | 7/4 | 10/11 |
| Betway | 15/4 | 9/5 | 19/20 |
| Sky Bet | 10/3 | 17/10 | 10/11 |
| Coral | 7/2 | 2/1★ Best | Evens |
| BetVictor | 18/5 | 19/10 | Evens |
- Model probability
- The model's estimated chance of an outcome.
- Implied probability
- The chance represented by a captured market price.
- Edge
- Model probability minus implied probability before qualification checks.
Where the model sees value
Model probabilities compared with eligible market prices.
Next 48h · all competitionsTop edge +14.5pp
Match Edges: 5 value spots.
Best prices
Prices 10m old
- Model
- 39.5%
- Market
- 25.0%
- Edge
- +14.5pp
Best prices
Prices 15m old
- Model
- 25.4%
- Market
- 12.5%
- Edge
- +12.9pp
Best prices
Prices 15m old
- Model
- 20.2%
- Market
- 11.8%
- Edge
- +8.4pp
Available price
Prices 15m old
- Model
- 30.1%
- Market
- 22.2%
- Edge
- +7.8pp
Best prices
Prices 15m old
- Model
- 36.6%
- Market
- 30.3%
- Edge
- +6.3pp
Competitions, prediction markets and tools
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Recent scores and the prediction model's record
Match results, model accuracy and Tips ROI are different datasets. Each is labelled independently.
Six recent results
All results →Model track record
Predictions, measured
Public prediction snapshot captured .
- Accuracy
- 66.3%
- Correct
- 18,658
- Resolved
- 28,162
- Markets
- 17
18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
One free account, connected tools
Move from a qualified opportunity to an alert, recorded position and closing-line review in one workflow.
Live value board
The current qualified board across every covered competition.
+EV+EV Scanner
Compare model probability with eligible market prices.
PlayersPlayer Props
Qualified player markets with sample and freshness checks.
MonitorAlerts
Save criteria and monitor qualifying opportunities.
EvidenceTracker and CLV
Record positions and review closing-line movement.
From probability estimate to settled evidence
The method distinguishes a prediction, a price edge and a qualified Tip.
- Prediction
- The model's estimated probability for an outcome before it is compared with a market price.
- Edge
- The difference between the model probability and the implied probability of an eligible captured price.
- Qualified Tip
- A published selection that passed the current price, edge, freshness and data-quality gates.
- 1
Estimate
Produce outcome probabilities from the current model inputs.
- 2
Compare
Compare those estimates with fresh, region-eligible prices.
- 3
Quality-gate
Reject stale, thin, malformed or insufficiently supported rows.
- 4
Settle and report
Record resolved outcomes in the appropriate public performance dataset.
Understand probability, price and risk
Plain-English guides for readers who want to examine the method, not just the outcome.
Reviewed pieces worth your time
Original reporting and match analysis with enough context to explain what changed and why it matters.

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Predictions, Tips, odds and records
What is the difference between a prediction and a Tip?
A prediction is a model probability. A Tip is a separately published selection that has also passed the current price, edge, freshness and data-quality gates. A model favourite is not automatically a Tip.
How does the free daily Tip work, and what does Plus include?
When at least one qualified Tip is published, a registered user can see the first immutable daily assignment. The SportSignals+ value board, player props, alerts and tracking are free this season. A free account opens every live Plus row.
How fresh are the odds and why do prices vary by region?
Every odds surface shows its capture time. Only fresh, unsuspended prices from sportsbooks eligible for the resolved region are considered; prices can move after capture and unavailable books are not substituted from another region.
Where can I verify SportSignals performance?
Prediction accuracy, settled Tip returns and live Plus scanner opportunities are different datasets. This page labels them separately, and the public accuracy and methodology pages explain the relevant samples and calculations.






