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Thursday 22 October

Thursday’s football predictions, tips and best odds

40 games today in 4 competitions. The biggest is Jagiellonia Białystok v Anderlecht at 20:00, where our model and the bookmakers disagree. 18 Tips this weekend.

Updated 08:27 · UK times

Big Games

Chosen by league, club size and whether there is a story: a Tip, or a gap between our model and the bookmakers.

How we choose these
UEFA Europa League logoUEFA Europa LeagueThu 20:00WE DIFFER in 11h 32m
Jagiellonia Białystok crest
Jagiellonia BiałystokDWWLW
v
AnderlechtWDWWW
Anderlecht crest
If the result is
Jagiellonia Białystok crestJagiellonia Białystok win+9 pts
Draw
Anderlecht crestAnderlecht win
Our chancefrom our model
41%
23%
36%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
32%
28%
43%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives Jagiellonia Białystok a 41% chance of winning. The best price, 3.10, implies 32%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa League logoUEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45WE DIFFER in 9h 17m
OFI crest
OFIWWWL
v
Bayer LeverkusenWW
Bayer Leverkusen crest
If the result is
OFI crestOFI win+13 pts
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen win
Our chancefrom our model
21%
21%
58%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
8%
13%
81%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives OFI a 21% chance of winning. The best price, 13.00, implies 8%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 20:00WE DIFFER in 11h 32m
BournemouthW
v
AC MilanLW
If the result is
Bournemouth win
Draw
AC Milan win+8 pts
Our chancefrom our model
35%
29%
36%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
50%
26%
28%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives AC Milan a 36% chance of winning. The best price, 3.60, implies 28%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 20:00WE DIFFER in 11h 32m
Olympiacos F.C.DL
v
Sparta PrahaWL
If the result is
Olympiacos F.C. win
Draw
Sparta Praha win+12 pts
Our chancefrom our model
48%
25%
28%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
65%
23%
16%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives Sparta Praha a 28% chance of winning. The best price, 6.40, implies 16%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45WE DIFFER in 9h 17m
Union Saint-GilloiseDL
v
Hapoel Be'er ShevaWWWWL
If the result is
Union Saint-Gilloise win
Draw
Hapoel Be'er Sheva win+14 pts
Our chancefrom our model
51%
24%
25%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
74%
18%
11%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives Hapoel Be'er Sheva a 25% chance of winning. The best price, 9.00, implies 11%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45WE DIFFER in 9h 17m
FerencvárosiDWWWW
v
TorreenseWL
If the result is
Ferencvárosi win
Draw
Torreense win+10 pts
Our chancefrom our model
56%
23%
20%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
75%
18%
10%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives Torreense a 20% chance of winning. The best price, 10.00, implies 10%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu 17:45WE DIFFER in 9h 17m
JablonecWWLWL
v
BrightonW
If the result is
Jablonec win
Draw+10 pts
Brighton win
Our chancefrom our model
32%
24%
44%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
7%
14%
83%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model gives the draw a 24% chance. The best price, 7.00, implies 14%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 20:00 in 11h 32m
Omonia NicosiaW
v
BenficaDWWWW
If the result is
Omonia Nicosia win
Draw
Benfica win
Our chancefrom our model
29%
24%
47%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
13%
18%
74%
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Benfica favourites at 47%. The best price, 1.36, implies 74%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

1 of 8

Every game, biggest first

Grouped by league. Open Match Centre from any row. Tap a bell to follow a game.

Exchanges such as Betfair Exchange take commission from winnings. With this on, their prices are shown after commission. Live prices are always bookmakers only.

Our chance:Home winDrawAway winThe logo under each price is the bookmaker offering it.
Kick-offMatchOur chanceBest UK price
UEFA Europa League logo

UEFA Europa League

18 gamesAll UEFA Europa League predictions
17:45
Lech Poznań crestLech PoznańSunderland crestSunderland
Lech Poznań 44%442234
17:45
Dinamo Zagreb crestDinamo ZagrebNEC Nijmegen crestNEC Nijmegen
Dinamo Zagreb 59%592020
17:45WE DIFFER
Union Saint-Gilloise crestUnion Saint-GilloiseHapoel Be'er Sheva crestHapoel Be'er Sheva
Union Saint-Gilloise 51%512425
17:45WE DIFFER
Ferencvárosi crestFerencvárosiTorreense crestTorreense
Ferencvárosi 56%562320
17:45WE DIFFER
Sturm Graz crestSturm GrazMarseille crestMarseille
Marseille 41%362341
17:45WE DIFFER
Juventus crestJuventusRennes crestRennes
Juventus 55%552123
17:45WE DIFFER
OFI crestOFIBayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen 58%212158
17:45WE DIFFER
Ararat-Armenia crestArarat-ArmeniaAZ Alkmaar crestAZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar 51%262251
20:00
Celtic crestCelticCelta Vigo crestCelta Vigo
Celtic 58%582418
20:00
Celje crestCeljeSalzburg crestSalzburg
Salzburg 56%232156
20:00WE DIFFER
Jagiellonia Białystok crestJagiellonia BiałystokAnderlecht crestAnderlecht
Jagiellonia Białystok 41%412336
20:00WE DIFFER
Olympiacos F.C. crestOlympiacos F.C.Sparta Praha crestSparta Praha
Olympiacos F.C. 48%482528
20:00
Omonia Nicosia crestOmonia NicosiaBenfica crestBenfica
Benfica 47%292447
20:00WE DIFFER
Viktoria Plzeň crestViktoria PlzeňLevski Sofia crestLevski Sofia
Viktoria Plzeň 45%452530
20:00WE DIFFER
Bournemouth crestBournemouthAC Milan crestAC Milan
AC Milan 36%352936
20:00
Lillestrøm crestLillestrømReal Sociedad crestReal Sociedad
Real Sociedad 42%342442
20:00
Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaşCrystal Palace crestCrystal Palace
Beşiktaş 65%651817
20:00
1899 Hoffenheim crest1899 HoffenheimLyon crestLyon
1899 Hoffenheim 41%412435

Major League Soccer

1 gameAll Major League Soccer predictions
  • Cincinnati2–1DC UnitedCalled right

UEFA Europa Conference League

18 gamesAll UEFA Europa Conference League predictions
15:30
KairatPanathinaikos
Panathinaikos 38%372538
17:45
GetafeLugano
Lugano 55%202555
17:45WE DIFFER
Crvena ZvezdaFC København
Crvena Zvezda 56%562123
17:45WE DIFFER
JablonecBrighton
Brighton 44%322444
17:45
Pafos FCRiga
Riga 40%352540
17:45WE DIFFER
Inter Club d'EscaldesUniversitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova 41%322841
17:45
FC Iberia 1999Mjällby
Mjällby 38%372538
17:45WE DIFFER
NordsjællandCSKA Sofia
Nordsjælland 53%532324
17:45WE DIFFER
Kauno ŽalgirisBrann
Brann 45%302545
17:45
TrabzonsporHearts
Trabzonspor 47%472331
20:00WE DIFFER
AGFEgnatia Rrogozhinë
AGF 49%492427
20:00
FC MidtjyllandSint-Truiden
FC Midtjylland 53%532324
20:00
ThunHajduk Split
Hajduk Split 45%322345
20:00WE DIFFER
Lincoln Red ImpsTwente
Twente 58%202258
20:00
MonacoSC Freiburg
Monaco 47%472330
20:00
AjaxAtalanta
Ajax 58%582023
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Sporting BragaGent
Sporting Braga 40%402534
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Borac Banja LukaKuPS
Borac Banja Luka 53%532423

Saudi Pro League

3 gamesAll Saudi Pro League predictions
14:40
Al HazmAl-Fayha
Al Hazm 38%382834
15:45
Al FatehAl Shabab
Al Shabab 54%232354
19:00
Al AhliAl Khaleej
Al Ahli 72%721711

18+ · Prices are information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Where we differ from the bookmakers

The four biggest gaps today between our model’s chance and the best UK price. Our view, not advice.

See every gap with SportSignals+
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu 17:45Chance of Crvena Zvezda winning
Our model56%
Bookmakers43%
Best price 2.35
UEFA Europa League · Thu 17:45Chance of OFI winning
Our model21%
Bookmakers8%
Best price 13.00

18+ · Our view, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Our record, in public

Every Tip stays in the public record, including the ones that lose. The accuracy record counts every settled prediction we can verify.

Tips since Aug 2025+12.5%profit on stakes from 847 settled Tips, Aug 2025 to Oct 2026.
Tips, last 30 days+19.8%profit on stakes from 32 Tips, 22 Sep to 21 Oct. 15 won. No Tips 22 Sep to 9 Oct.
Results called right50.1%2,422 of 4,837 full-time results since 15 April 2026.

The figure above covers the whole published record. The current run, August 2026 to October 2026, is -6.2% across 107 settled tips since the model restarted. A run that short moves a long way on a few results, so read the two together.

Tips profit by monthProfit divided by stakes, settled Tips. No Tips in June and July 2026. October 2026 is to the 19th.
+14%Aug
+14%Sep
−16%Oct
+16%Nov
+8%Dec
+20%Jan
+0%Feb
+37%Mar
+34%Apr
+8%May
Jun
Jul
−18%Aug
−16%Sep
+20%Oct
20252026

Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org

Big Games at a glance

Thursday 22 October: the Big Games at a glance
MatchKick-offMost likelyOur chanceBest price
Jagiellonia Białystok v Anderlecht20:00Jagiellonia Białystok win41%3.10
OFI v Bayer Leverkusen17:45Bayer Leverkusen win58%1.23 Bwin
Bournemouth v AC Milan20:00AC Milan win36%3.60
Olympiacos F.C. v Sparta Praha20:00Olympiacos F.C. win48%1.53
Union Saint-Gilloise v Hapoel Be'er Sheva17:45Union Saint-Gilloise win51%1.36 Bwin
Ferencvárosi v Torreense17:45Ferencvárosi win56%1.33
Jablonec v Brighton17:45Brighton win44%1.20
Omonia Nicosia v Benfica20:00Benfica win47%1.36

18+ · Prices are information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Questions

How are these predictions made?

Our model turns team ratings and match data into a chance for each result. The accuracy record shows how often it has been right.

What does “We differ” mean?

Our model gives a result at least 8 points more chance than the best bookmaker price suggests. It is our view, not advice.

Are these the best odds?

They are the best prices we found at UK-licensed bookmakers when the page was updated. Prices move, so check before you bet.

Do I need an account?

No. Predictions, prices and the Free Pick are open to everyone. A free account saves your teams across devices.