Ligue 1
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.40 to 2.70
Expected value
EV +£2.12 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Model tips
Latest football tips, logged before kick-off
See the live fixture card first, then inspect the complete evidence behind it. Fixture details, a broad price band and the expected value in money are public; SportSignals+ reveals the exact selections, the prices they were logged at and the full model detail.
20
Tips live
+15.2%
2025/26 return on stakes
740
2025/26 settled tips
- £10 on every tip, since Aug 2025: +£947
- Every tip settled in the open ledger
- More than half of tips lose. The maths still won.
Latest football tips in one view
20 model tips are live across 20 upcoming matches on 11–14 September 2026, covering Ligue 1, La Liga, the Premier League, the Eredivisie and Serie A. Browse the live board below for every fixture, league, UK kick-off time, public price band and expected value in money at a £10 stake. One tip is marked Free Pick; 19 selections require SportSignals+ or a current Weekend Pass. The completed 2025/26 record returned +15.2% on stakes across 740 settled tips.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly · www.begambleaware.org.
Live board20 tips
20 model tips are live
Every row names the fixture, a broad price band and the expected value in money. Members also see the selection itself and the price it was logged at.
All 20 live tips are shown
EV is expected value: the model's chance combined with the price it was logged at, shown as what a £10 stake makes on average across similar bets. It is an estimate, not a guaranteed return.
La Liga
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.10 to 2.40
Expected value
EV +£2.86 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Premier League
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.70 to 3.00
Expected value
EV +£3.14 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Premier League
Logged before kick-off
Price band 3.00 to 3.50
Expected value
EV +£4.87 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
La Liga
Logged before kick-off
Price band 4.00 to 5.00
Expected value
EV +£0.74 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Eredivisie
Logged before kick-off
Price band 3.00 to 3.50
Expected value
EV +£3.72 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Ligue 1
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.40 to 2.70
Expected value
EV +£1.18 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
La Liga
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.10 to 2.40
Expected value
EV +£2.24 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Eredivisie
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.40 to 2.70
Expected value
EV +£1.15 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Eredivisie
Your free tip
Under 2.5 goals
Expected value
EV +£3.06 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
La Liga
Logged before kick-off
Price band 3.50 to 4.00
Expected value
EV +£1.23 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Premier League
Logged before kick-off
Price band 4.00 to 5.00
Expected value
EV +£1.55 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Serie A
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.10 to 2.40
Expected value
EV +£2.12 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Ligue 1
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.10 to 2.40
Expected value
EV +£1.00 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Premier League
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.70 to 3.00
Expected value
EV +£2.30 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Ligue 1
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.70 to 3.00
Expected value
EV +£3.62 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
La Liga
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.10 to 2.40
Expected value
EV +£2.58 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Serie A
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.10 to 2.40
Expected value
EV +£1.22 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
La Liga
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.40 to 2.70
Expected value
EV +£3.79 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Premier League
Logged before kick-off
Price band 2.10 to 2.40
Expected value
EV +£0.70 on £10
an average across similar bets, not this bet's return
Checking your access…
Settled evidence
The completed season and the live record, clearly separated
Losing tips stay in the record. We publish the settled result of every selection, so the numbers above are the whole picture rather than the best part of it.
Completed 2025/26 season
+15.2%
740 settled tips · Aug 2025 to May 2026
+£1,126 at £10 level stakes
Live published ledger
+11.9%
794 settled tips · 364W–430L
+£947.40 at £10 level stakes · through 7 Sept 2026
Cumulative return on every stake placed to date, at month end. Hover or focus a month to inspect it; press it to keep the details open.
18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Settled tip ledger
Open a recent tip or browse the complete public record
794 in the full ledgerThis compact preview starts with recent winning tips. Each tip shows the original selection, recorded price, final score and the profit or loss from a £100 level stake; the dedicated archive keeps every win and loss reachable.
Why win rate is only half the story
The model is built to find profitable value, not simply the highest number of winners. A £100 winner at odds of 2.50 produces £150 profit and can cover more than one £100 loss. That is why both win rate and price matter, and why we judge the record by return on stakes.
This view contains the latest 24 settled tips. The headline record above is calculated from all 794 settled tips, including every loss.
Stake
Showing 6 of 6 recent won tips. Open any tip for its publication record and £100 stake return.
Complete public record
Browse all 794 settled tips, including every loss.
Search fixtures, inspect publication details, change the example stake and move through the ledger page by page.
How the SportSignals football tips model works
One publication process prices a market, records the qualifying selection before kick-off and settles it against the result. The definitions below are also the definitions used in every live member card.
- Recorded price
- The decimal price stored when the tip was published. It is historical evidence, not a promise of current availability.
- Model probability
- The model's estimated chance of the selected outcome.
- Implied probability
- The chance represented by the recorded decimal price, calculated as 1 divided by price.
- Expected value (EV)
- The modelled average return on stake at the recorded price, shown in money on a £10 stake. It is an estimate across comparable bets, not a promise for one bet.
- Model edge
- Model probability minus implied probability, reported in percentage points rather than as expected return.
- 1
Ingest
The pipeline assembles the available pre-match fixture and market inputs used by the model.
- 2
Model
Machine learning converts raw signal into a calibrated probability for every market.
- 3
Detect the edge
The model probability is compared with the probability implied by the recorded market price.
- 4
Rank by value
Only selections that clear the publication rules enter the live tips ledger.
- 5
Track in public
Logged before kick-off, settled against the result. The record updates itself.
Football tips FAQs
Are the tips free?
Fixture details, publication times, price bands, the expected value in money and the settled history are public. A tip marked Free Pick also shows its selection. Other live selections, exact recorded prices and full model figures are available to SportSignals+ members and current Weekend Pass holders. Creating a free account does not by itself reveal a paid live selection.
How can the tips be profitable if more selections lose than win?
Profit depends on both win rate and the prices of the winners. A £100 winner at decimal odds of 2.50 makes £150 profit, so it can cover more than one £100 losing stake. SportSignals therefore judges the model by return on stakes across every published tip, not by win rate alone.
Can I verify the record?
Every settled tip remains in the published history with its fixture, selection, recorded price, result and level-stakes profit or loss. Losing tips and losing months stay in the record. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
When do new tips publish?
There is no fixed daily quota or guaranteed publication time. A tip appears when the model identifies a qualifying selection before kick-off; on some days no tip qualifies.
What do expected value, recorded price and model edge mean?
Expected value, shown as EV in pounds on a £10 stake, combines the model probability with the recorded decimal price and estimates the average return across comparable bets; it is not a guaranteed return from one bet. The recorded price is historical evidence from publication, not a promise that the same price remains available. Model edge is the model probability minus the probability implied by that price, expressed in percentage points.
What happens to a tip after kick-off?
It leaves the upcoming list, and once the fixture settles it joins the public history with its result and profit or loss attached. Every tip we publish is verifiable later, which is the point of publishing it in the first place.
Tips are informational analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly · www.begambleaware.org.