Football tips from a model with a public record
Every tip is logged before kick-off and settled against the result, win or lose. Across the tracked record the model returned +15.2% on stakes over 740 tracked tips. Settled history and the weekly Free Pick are open to everyone. The upcoming member board checks access privately after this public page loads.
+15.2%
Return on stakes
+£1,126
At £10 level stakes
348W-392L
47% strike rate
9 / 10
Months profitable
Today's tips in one view
No tip currently clears the value bar, so none is published. The settled record stands at +15.2% return on stakes across 740 tips (Aug 2025 to May 2026). For information and research.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly · www.begambleaware.org.
Every tip we publish, settled and counted
+15.2%return on stakes · 740 settled tips
+£1,126 at flat £10 stakes · Aug 2025 to May 2026
Losing tips stay in the record. We publish the settled result of every selection, so the numbers above are the whole picture rather than the best part of it.
Cumulative return on every stake placed to date, at month end.
18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
A flat return understates a repeating edge
Tracked with flat stakes the model returned 15.2%on the money it staked. An edge that repeats compounds: reinvest each month's profit and the same results build on themselves. The figures below compound the model's real month-by-month results, every losing month included.
Profit reinvested monthly · final bank
£3,272
started at £1,000 · 3.27x · +227% compounded across 10 months
Profit withdrawn monthly · final position
£2,355
£1,000 bank held + +£1,355 profit banked · +135.5% of bank
Green: bank with profit reinvested monthly. Grey: bank plus withdrawn profit. Compounded from real monthly results, not a projection.
Today's tip board
The public document contains only the deliberately redacted board and any disclosed Free Pick. Full selections, model probability and recorded price load only after a private access check.
Checking your access to today's member board…
No tip is live right now. Tips publish only when the model finds value.
Every tip publishes here before kick-off. Members see the selection the moment it goes live.
Create a free account for the Free Pick of the Week every Saturday and 5 daily unlocks across the Plus tools. No card needed.
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18+ · Information, not advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware.org
Tip history
740 settledEvery settled tip, exactly as it was published. Nothing is removed and nothing is added after the result.
| Date | Fixture | Selection | Odds | Result | P/L (£10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | Burnley Vs WolvesPremier League | U25 | 2.24 | WWon | +£12.40 |
| 24 May | Crystal Palace Vs ArsenalPremier League | U25 | 2.34 | LLost | -£10.00 |
| 24 May | Liverpool Vs BrentfordPremier League | AWAY | 3.95 | LLost | -£10.00 |
| 24 May | Parma Vs SassuoloSerie A | U25 | 2.00 | WWon | +£10.00 |
| 24 May | Sunderland Vs ChelseaPremier League | HOME | 3.65 | WWon | +£26.50 |
| 24 May | West Ham Vs LeedsPremier League | U25 | 2.25 | LLost | -£10.00 |
| 24 May | Villarreal Vs Atletico MadridLa Liga | U25 | 2.50 | LLost | -£10.00 |
| 24 May | Villarreal Vs Atletico MadridLa Liga | U15 | 6.20 | LLost | -£10.00 |
| 24 May | AC Milan Vs CagliariSerie A | U25 | 2.20 | LLost | -£10.00 |
| 24 May | Cremonese Vs ComoSerie A | U25 | 2.32 | LLost | -£10.00 |
| 24 May | Lecce Vs GenoaSerie A | DRAW | 3.70 | LLost | -£10.00 |
| 24 May | Verona Vs AS RomaSerie A | U25 | 2.14 | WWon | +£11.40 |
How the model works
One model powers everything. It prices every market itself and only flags selections where its probability beats the market price.
- 1
Ingest
Odds from licensed books, expected goals, form, head-to-head and team news, refreshed continuously.
- 2
Model
Machine learning converts raw signal into a calibrated probability for every market.
- 3
Detect the edge
Model probability against market price. Only real mispricing survives.
- 4
Rank by value
Surviving selections are ranked by expected value, strongest first.
- 5
Track in public
Logged before kick-off, settled against the result. The record updates itself.
Frequently asked questions
Are the tips free?
Settled history and the disclosed Free Pick are open to everyone. Access to the full upcoming board is checked privately when the page loads; it may require a signed-in account or SportSignals+ depending on the current release policy.
Why do you lead with return on stakes instead of win rate?
Win rate without odds is meaningless. A 47% strike rate at 2.51 average odds is profitable; a 90% strike rate at 1.05 is not. Return on stakes decides whether a record makes money, so it leads every page.
Can I verify the record?
Every tip is timestamped before kick-off and settled in public. Settled rows are locked and never edited. Losing months stay on the chart. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
When do new tips publish?
Tips publish by 07:00 UK time on days the model finds value, and only then. Some days there are no tips, and we say so rather than publishing filler.
What happens to a tip after kick-off?
It leaves the upcoming list, and once the fixture settles it joins the public history with its result and profit or loss attached. Every tip we publish is verifiable later, which is the point of publishing it in the first place.
Tips are informational analysis, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please gamble responsibly.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly · www.begambleaware.org.