Model probability
Start with a current estimate for the exact named outcome.
Football Value picks
Inspect the model evidence behind qualified value picks, then check the current price.
Current page: /predictions/value-picks10 Nov 2026–16 Nov 2026 · UK time
All leagues
Qualified value picks
0 fixtures
Recent form · up to 5 · all competitions · latest on left · W win / D draw / L loss
No published forecasts in this view
A forecast only appears when current source evidence is available for this date, competition and market.
View the fixture scheduleFixture probabilities supplied by Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Forecasts can change before kick-off. How to read this evidence.
Probability alone cannot establish value.
Eligible price
Check the selection, fixture, market period, quote timestamp and availability.
Qualification
A model-versus-price difference alone does not complete the publishing checks.
Where the forecast comes from
A useful prediction should show its workings.
SportSignals publishes football probabilities supplied by Sportmonks. We make those numbers easier to explore, compare and understand. Team form describes completed matches; it is separate from the provider’s forecast.
Read the full methodology →- 01
Start with the source
Use a published probability, name its provider and show when the forecast was updated.
- 02
Show the alternatives
Present the available outcomes for the exact market. Explain close calls and missing coverage.
- 03
Make the record inspectable
Keep eligible settled counts, the measured scope and the source date beside the historical rate.
SportSignals Plus
Explore Plus →The forecast is your starting point.
Explore the Plus tools to compare probabilities with eligible prices, market movement and your own research.
Public predictions stay free. Check Plus for current features and pricing.A little more contextGood questions.
Good questions.
Clear answers.
Understand what the evidence can tell you, and where its limits begin.
Where do the match probabilities come from?
SportSignals publishes football fixture probabilities supplied by Sportmonks. The source timestamp identifies the current forecast; team form is a separate description of previous results.
What else is needed before a value selection can qualify?
Model probability: Start with a current estimate for the exact named outcome. Eligible price: Check the selection, fixture, market period, quote timestamp and availability. Qualification: A model-versus-price difference alone does not complete the publishing checks.
What do W, D and L mean?
W means win, D draw and L loss. The strip shows up to five completed team matches in all competitions before the fixture, latest on the left. A shorter source history stays short; unavailable history is labelled. Team form is not model accuracy.
Does the highest probability mean the best value?
No. Probability and price answer different questions. A value assessment needs an eligible current quote for the exact selection, plus the relevant publishing checks. A forecast can be wrong.
How should I read the historical record?
Compare each market’s won and eligible settled counts, reporting period and source date. Markets have different base rates and may overlap. Historical hit rate is not calibration, forecast confidence or profit, and past outcomes do not guarantee future results.