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SD Eibar win leads. 51.7% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
51.7% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
Deportivo Alaves win leads. 19.1% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
19.1% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
Real Jaén win leads. 42.2% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
42.2% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
UD Logroñés win leads. 58.4% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
58.4% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
Leganés win leads. 55.4% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
55.4% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
Valencia win leads. 20.7% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
20.7% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
Too close to call. The leading outcomes are within 3 percentage points. A confident pick would hide that uncertainty.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
The leading outcomes are within 3 percentage points. A confident pick would hide that uncertainty.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
Real Betis win leads. 44.2% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
44.2% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
Levante win leads. 48.6% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
48.6% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
Leganés win leads. 61.7% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
61.7% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
Salamanca CF UDS win leads. 52.1% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
52.1% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
Castellón win leads. 55.5% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Understand this forecast⌄
Full-time result: the evidence
55.5% remains for the other outcomes. The most likely outcome is not certain.
Team form shows up to five completed matches in all competitions before this fixture, latest on the left. It describes the teams’ previous results, not the model’s accuracy.
Fixture probabilities: Sportmonks, published by SportSignals. Updated . Read the methodology.
SportSignals publishes football probabilities supplied by Sportmonks. We make those numbers easier to explore, compare and understand. Team form describes completed matches; it is separate from the provider’s forecast.
Understand what the evidence can tell you, and where its limits begin.
Where do the match probabilities come from?
SportSignals publishes football fixture probabilities supplied by Sportmonks. The source timestamp identifies the current forecast; team form is a separate description of previous results.
Where should I start?
Match result: Compare all three full-time outcomes, including the draw. Goals and BTTS: Use a market page for the specific football question you want answered. One competition: Follow the fixture schedule and the available forecasts in a league.
What do W, D and L mean?
W means win, D draw and L loss. The strip shows up to five completed team matches in all competitions before the fixture, latest on the left. A shorter source history stays short; unavailable history is labelled. Team form is not model accuracy.
Does the highest probability mean the best value?
No. Probability and price answer different questions. A value assessment needs an eligible current quote for the exact selection, plus the relevant publishing checks. A forecast can be wrong.
How should I read the historical record?
Compare each market’s won and eligible settled counts, reporting period and source date. Markets have different base rates and may overlap. Historical hit rate is not calibration, forecast confidence or profit, and past outcomes do not guarantee future results.
Model record · all time
Accuracy by market
All competitions · settled selections
Historical hit rates; different markets are not directly comparable. Not profit.
Sample dates 15 Apr 2026–9 Nov 2026. Every market checked through at least .
0%100%
Full Time Result50.6%
2,884 correct from 5,702 settled
Both Teams to Score55.7%
3,176 correct from 5,702 settled
Over/Under 2.557.8%
3,296 correct from 5,702 settled
Over/Under 1.578.1%
4,453 correct from 5,702 settled
Show all 8 markets
Over/Under 3.566.0%
3,761 correct from 5,702 settled
Double Chance73.6%
4,104 correct from 5,577 settled
Half Time Result59.5%
3,319 correct from 5,577 settled
Draw No Bet61.0%
2,645 correct from 4,337 settled
How this record is measured
Correct selections divided by won and lost selections. Pending and void selections are excluded. Hit rate is not calibration, profit or the chance of the next result.
Full Time Result
Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Pending and void selections are excluded. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. 15 Apr 2026 - 9 Nov 2026. Results checked through .
Both Teams to Score
Correct means the selection settled as won on its stated market and period. Pending and void selections are excluded. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. 15 Apr 2026 - 9 Nov 2026. Results checked through .
Over/Under 2.5
Correct means the selection settled as won on its stated market and period. Pending and void selections are excluded. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. 15 Apr 2026 - 9 Nov 2026. Results checked through .
Over/Under 1.5
Correct means the selection settled as won on its stated market and period. Pending and void selections are excluded. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. 15 Apr 2026 - 9 Nov 2026. Results checked through .
Over/Under 3.5
Correct means the selection settled as won on its stated market and period. Pending and void selections are excluded. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. 15 Apr 2026 - 9 Nov 2026. Results checked through .
Double Chance
Correct means the selection settled as won on its stated market and period. Pending and void selections are excluded. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. 15 Apr 2026 - 9 Nov 2026. Results checked through .
Half Time Result
Correct means the selection settled as won on the first-half result. Pending and void selections are excluded. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. 15 Apr 2026 - 9 Nov 2026. Results checked through .
Draw No Bet
Correct means the selection settled as won on its stated market and period. Pending and void selections are excluded. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. 15 Apr 2026 - 9 Nov 2026. Results checked through .
