Aston Villa are 16th and Brentford 4th in the Premier League, 5 points apart. Aston Villa have won 1 of their last 5; Brentford have won 2 of their last 5.
Big games this week
ranked by sporting interest · 10 matches ranked this week · kick-offs in UK timePrices are checked as you readThe 10 biggest games of the week, ranked by competition profile, the strength of the two teams and how evenly they are matched. Top of the list is Aston Villa v Brentford (Premier League, Saturday 15:00 UK): Aston Villa are 16th and Brentford 4th in the Premier League, 5 points apart. Aston Villa have won 1 of their last 5; Brentford have won 2 of their last 5. Updated Wednesday 23:05.
Later this week
Sat 10 – Sun 11 OctoberChelsea are 10th and Bournemouth 17th in the Premier League, 4 points apart. Chelsea have won 2 of their last 5; Bournemouth have not won in their last 5.
Sunderland are 14th and Brighton 3rd in the Premier League, 6 points apart. Sunderland have won 1 of their last 5; Brighton have won 3 of their last 5.
Ipswich are 11th and Fulham 19th in the Premier League, 4 points apart. Ipswich have won 2 of their last 5; Fulham have not won in their last 5.
Liverpool are 6th and Manchester City 1st in the Premier League, 6 points apart. Both are unbeaten in their last 5.
Paderborn are 12th and VfB Stuttgart 15th in the Bundesliga, 1 point apart. Paderborn have won 1 of their last 4; VfB Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 5.
Real Madrid are 4th and Villarreal 9th in the La Liga, 7 points apart. Real Madrid have won 3 of their last 5; Villarreal have won 2 of their last 5.
SC Freiburg are 3rd and Schalke 04 11th in the Bundesliga, 5 points apart. SC Freiburg have won 4 of their last 5; Schalke 04 have won 1 of their last 4.
Paris Saint Germain are 6th and Le Mans 9th in the Ligue 1, 2 points apart. Paris Saint Germain have won 2 of their last 5; Le Mans have won 1 of their last 5.
Lazio are 3rd and Monza 16th in the Serie A, 9 points apart. Lazio have won 4 of their last 5; Monza have won 1 of their last 5.
How the list is chosen
Every match kicking off this week is scored on three things: the competition's profile, how strong the two teams are on our ratings, and how evenly matched they are. A match needs enough of those to be scored at all, so a fixture we hold too little on is left off rather than guessed at. Competitions followed most closely where you are sit higher on the list.
Prices never affect the order. The ranking is fixed before any price is read, and the prices on each card are shown for information after the fact. A match is not on this list because it is a good bet, and being high on it is not a recommendation.
How are big games chosen? The 10 matches this week are ranked by sporting interest: the competition's profile, how strong the two sides are on our ratings, and how evenly they are matched. Each card says why it was chosen.
Do big games mean better bets? No. The ranking measures interest, not value. Model probabilities and prices are shown for information and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Model probabilities estimate outcomes; published Tips are separately qualified selections. Best price = best eligible current price for that outcome across covered bookmakers. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org
