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Eredivisie · MW12 AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
8 Nov
AZ Alkmaar 60%Draw 22%FC Groningen 19%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back AZ Alkmaar or FC Groningen?

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen kicks off UK time in the Eredivisie. The match is at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar. Our model's pick is AZ Alkmaar to win at a 63.9% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and FC Groningen won it.

Match intelligence · not a tip

AZ Alkmaar has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw21.5%
BTTS yes56.7%

Updated

Over 2.559.3%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
9.5
xG for
9▼ -0.5
Goals
7.2
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
8.4
xG for
15▲ +6.6
Goals
12.9
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
AZ AlkmaarNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

AZ Alkmaar recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L01.06
2W41.37
3D21.36
4W22.25
5L01.28
6W12.17
FC GroningenNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

FC Groningen recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D20.77
2L22.25
3W52.57
4W31.33
5D10.25
6D21.19
FC Groningen have taken more points than their chances were worth: 9 points against 6.0 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
AZ Alkmaar generated 9.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 0.5 below that chance total. FC Groningen generated 8.4 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 15, 6.6 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

AZ Alkmaar: 6 matches · FC Groningen: 6
Recent team comparison. AZ Alkmaar sample 6; FC Groningen sample 6.
MeasureAZ AlkmaarFC Groningen
Goals / game1.52.5
Conceded / game1.171.83
xG / game1.581.4
xG conceded / game1.22.15
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch AZ Alkmaar v FC Groningen

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~14:45
AZ Alkmaar11 starters
3Goes
22Dijkstra
15Chávez
23Duijl
4Dekker
6Koopmeiners
10Mijnans
27Daal
35Meerdink
9Parrott
24Oufkir
FC Groningen11 starters
1Vaessen
43Peersman
3Blokzijl
5Rente
8Jonge
10Taha
14Schreuders
17Werff
9Willumsson
26Bergen
27Mendes
Out / doubtful
❓ Hobie Verhulst suspended · 🩹 Kees Smit injury · 🩹 Wouter Goes injury · 🩹 Jizz Hornkamp injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

AZ Alkmaar v FC Groningen · Eredivisie ·

More from this competition: Eredivisie predictions · Eredivisie odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen?
    AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen takes place on Sunday 8 November at 15:45 (UK time) in the Eredivisie at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.
  • Who is the model backing in AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen?
    Our model's pick is AZ Alkmaar to win (match result), with around 64% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between AZ Alkmaar and FC Groningen?
    In their last 1 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 0, FC Groningen won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 1.
  • How can I watch AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Eredivisie coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 8 Nov, 15:45 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.