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Week of 16 October

This week’s football predictions, tips and best odds

337 games this week in 28 competitions. The biggest is Bayern München v Arsenal at 20:00. 12 Tips this weekend.

Updated 23:24 · UK times

Big Games

Chosen by league, club size and whether there is a story: a Tip, or a gap between our model and the bookmakers.

How we choose these
UEFA Europa League logoUEFA Europa LeagueThu 20:00 in 6 days
Omonia Nicosia crest
Omonia NicosiaW
v
BenficaWWWLW
Benfica crest
If the result is
Omonia Nicosia crestOmonia Nicosia win
Draw
Benfica crestBenfica win
Our chancefrom our model
28%
23%
50%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Benfica favourites at 50%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Champions League logoUEFA Champions LeagueWed 20:00 in 5 days
Bayern München crest
Bayern MünchenWDWWD
v
ArsenalLW
Arsenal crest
If the result is
Bayern München crestBayern München win
Draw
Arsenal crestArsenal win
Our chancefrom our model
56%
21%
23%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Bayern München favourites at 56%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Champions LeagueWed 20:00 in 5 days
Aston VillaW
v
VikingWDWWW
If the result is
Aston Villa win
Draw
Viking win
Our chancefrom our model
38%
23%
40%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Viking favourites at 40%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Champions LeagueTue 20:00 in 4 days
VfB StuttgartLWLLW
v
Atletico MadridLDLLW
If the result is
VfB Stuttgart win
Draw
Atletico Madrid win
Our chancefrom our model
41%
22%
37%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes VfB Stuttgart favourites at 41%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45 in 6 days
FerencvárosiDWWWW
v
TorreenseWL
If the result is
Ferencvárosi win
Draw
Torreense win
Our chancefrom our model
57%
23%
20%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Ferencvárosi favourites at 57%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Champions LeagueTue 20:00 in 4 days
Manchester CityWWW
v
AEK AthensLW
If the result is
Manchester City win
Draw
AEK Athens win
Our chancefrom our model
52%
24%
24%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Manchester City favourites at 52%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Serie ASun 17:00 in 2 days
AC MilanWDDWD
v
AtalantaDWW
If the result is
AC Milan win
Draw
Atalanta win
Our chancefrom our model
45%
24%
31%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes AC Milan favourites at 45%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45 in 6 days
Union Saint-GilloiseWD
v
Hapoel Be'er ShevaWWWWL
If the result is
Union Saint-Gilloise win
Draw
Hapoel Be'er Sheva win
Our chancefrom our model
52%
23%
25%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Union Saint-Gilloise favourites at 52%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

1 of 8

Every game, biggest first

Grouped by league. Open Match Centre from any row. Tap a bell to follow a game.

Exchanges such as Betfair Exchange take commission from winnings. With this on, their prices are shown after commission. Live prices are always bookmakers only.

Our chance:Home winDrawAway winThe logo under each price is the bookmaker offering it.
Kick-offMatchOur chanceBest UK price
Premier League logo

Premier League

10 gamesAll Premier League predictions
12:30
Everton crestEvertonChelsea crestChelsea
Everton 42%422534
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:00
Manchester City crestManchester CityIpswich crestIpswich
Manchester City 66%661914
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:00
Brentford crestBrentfordLiverpool crestLiverpool
Liverpool 45%312545
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:00TIP
Fulham crestFulhamHull City crestHull City
Fulham 53%532324
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:30
Newcastle United crestNewcastle UnitedAston Villa crestAston Villa
Newcastle United 38%382636
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
Show 5 more Premier League games

EFL Championship

12 gamesAll EFL Championship predictions
12:30
MillwallLincoln City
Millwall 37%372637
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
12:30
WatfordCharlton
Watford 46%462628
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
12:30
MiddlesbroughCardiff City
Middlesbrough 49%492327
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:00
NorwichPortsmouth
Norwich 54%542323
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:00
SwanseaWest Ham United
West Ham United 42%312742
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
Show 7 more EFL Championship games

UEFA Champions League

18 gamesAll UEFA Champions League predictions
17:45
FenerbahçeSlavia Praha
Fenerbahçe 49%492526
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
SabahBorussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund 46%312346
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
LiverpoolVillarreal
Liverpool 49%492328
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
PortoPSV Eindhoven
Porto 48%482130
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
NapoliBodø / Glimt
Napoli 43%432235
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
Show 13 more UEFA Champions League games
13:00
EspanyolAtletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid 50%242550
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:15
VillarrealElche
Villarreal 60%602317
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:30
Real BetisBarcelona
Barcelona 61%192161
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00TIP
ValenciaAthletic Club
Athletic Club 45%292645
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
13:00TIP
OsasunaRacing Santander
Osasuna 49%492427
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
Show 5 more La Liga games
14:00
VeneziaNapoli
Napoli 38%362638
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:00
BolognaInter
Inter 46%272646
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
19:45
AS RomaGenoa
AS Roma 65%652213
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
11:30
UdineseLecce
Udinese 44%442630
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
14:00
FiorentinaComo
Fiorentina 38%382636
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
Show 4 more Serie A games
16:15
StrasbourgParis Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain 62%172062
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
19:45
LilleStade Brestois 29
Lille 54%542522
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
19:45TIP
TroyesLens
Lens 43%322543
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
14:00
AngersMarseille
Marseille 49%282349
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
16:15TIP
LorientMonaco
Monaco 41%332541
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
Show 3 more Ligue 1 games
15:30
ADO Den HaagPSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven 46%322246
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
19:00
TelstarFeyenoord
Feyenoord 52%242452
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00TIP
Sparta RotterdamWillem II
Sparta Rotterdam 52%522424
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
11:15
PEC ZwolleGO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles 40%332740
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
13:30TIP
SC CambuurAZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar 46%322246
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
Show 3 more Eredivisie games
Show 12 more competitions (94 games)

18+ · Prices are information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Where we differ from the bookmakers

The four biggest gaps this week between our model’s chance and the best UK price. Our view, not advice.

See every gap with SportSignals+

18+ · Our view, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Our record, in public

Every Tip stays in the public record, including the ones that lose. The accuracy record counts every settled prediction we can verify.

Tips since Aug 2025+12.3%profit on stakes from 837 settled Tips, Aug 2025 to Oct 2026.
Tips, last 30 days+8.3%profit on stakes from 27 Tips, 16 Sep to 15 Oct. 13 won. No Tips 21 Sep to 9 Oct.
Results called right50.0%2,293 of 4,589 full-time results since 15 April 2026.

The figure above covers the whole published record. The current run, August 2026 to October 2026, is -10.2% across 97 settled tips since the model restarted. A run that short moves a long way on a few results, so read the two together.

Tips profit by monthProfit divided by stakes, settled Tips. No Tips in June and July 2026. October 2026 is to the 16th.
+14%Aug
+14%Sep
−16%Oct
+16%Nov
+8%Dec
+20%Jan
+0%Feb
+37%Mar
+34%Apr
+8%May
Jun
Jul
−23%Aug
−16%Sep
+25%Oct
20252026

Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org

This week at a glance

This week: the Big Games at a glance
MatchKick-offMost likelyOur chanceBest price
Omonia Nicosia v Benfica20:00Benfica win50%Checking prices
Bayern München v Arsenal20:00Bayern München win56%Checking prices
Aston Villa v Viking20:00Viking win40%Checking prices
VfB Stuttgart v Atletico Madrid20:00VfB Stuttgart win41%Checking prices
Ferencvárosi v Torreense17:45Ferencvárosi win57%Checking prices
Manchester City v AEK Athens20:00Manchester City win52%Checking prices
AC Milan v Atalanta17:00AC Milan win45%Checking prices
Union Saint-Gilloise v Hapoel Be'er Sheva17:45Union Saint-Gilloise win52%Checking prices

18+ · Prices are information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Questions

How are these predictions made?

Our model turns team ratings and match data into a chance for each result. The accuracy record shows how often it has been right.

What does “We differ” mean?

Our model gives a result at least 8 points more chance than the best bookmaker price suggests. It is our view, not advice.

Are these the best odds?

They are the best prices we found at UK-licensed bookmakers when the page was updated. Prices move, so check before you bet.

Do I need an account?

No. Predictions, prices and the Free Pick are open to everyone. A free account saves your teams across devices.