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La Liga · MW23 Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Real Sociedad or Real Madrid?

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid kicks off UK time in La Liga. The match is at Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met 3 times in the fixtures we hold, with Real Sociedad winning 0, Real Madrid winning 3 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Real Sociedad v Real Madrid: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
10.8
xG for
16▲ +5.2
Goals
9.7
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
14.8
xG for
19▲ +4.2
Goals
7.0
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Real SociedadNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Real Sociedad recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W11.25
2D11.17
3L11.61
4W22.08
5W62.64
6W52.08
Real MadridNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Real Madrid recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W32.32
2W33.61
3W32.60
4W21.55
5W43.00
6W41.74
Real Sociedad have taken more points than their chances were worth: 13 points against 9.2 expected. Real Madrid have taken more points than their chances were worth: 18 points against 12.6 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Real Sociedad generated 10.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 16, 5.2 above that chance total. Real Madrid generated 14.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 19, 4.2 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Real Sociedad: 6 matches · Real Madrid: 6
Recent team comparison. Real Sociedad sample 6; Real Madrid sample 6.
MeasureReal SociedadReal Madrid
Goals / game2.673.17
Conceded / game10.83
xG / game1.82.47
xG conceded / game1.621.17
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Real Sociedad v Real Madrid

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~17:00
Real Sociedad11 starters
19Sarr
4Gorrotxategi
21Herrera
11Guedes
7Barrenetxea
Real Madrid11 starters
1Courtois
24Huijsen
5Bellingham
8Valverde
15Güler
14Tchouaméni
49Diomande
Out / doubtful
🩹 Arsen Zakharyan injury · 🩹 Luken Beitia injury · 🩹 Jon Aramburu injury · 🩹 Álvaro Odriozola injury · 🩹 Thibaut Courtois injury · 🩹 Rodrygo injury · 🩹 Ferland Mendy injury · 🩹 Raúl Asencio injury · ❓ Vinicius Junior suspended
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Real Sociedad v Real Madrid · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?
    Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid takes place on Wednesday 2 December at 18:00 (UK time) in the La Liga at Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Real Sociedad and Real Madrid?
    In their last 3 meetings, Real Sociedad won 0, Real Madrid won 3, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3.
  • How can I watch Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for La Liga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 2 Dec, 18:00 GMT

No alternative Tips are published right now

The public ledger and methodology remain available, and you can follow this fixture for the next verified match update.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.