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Accumulator Odds: Calculation, Probability and Void Legs

Fact-checkedPublished Updated 4 min readGuide 8 of 25

Latest review: Verified combined-price, return, probability, and void-leg arithmetic and separated payoff multiplication from the independence assumption.

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In this article (10 sections)

In short

Accumulator decimal odds are the product of the active leg prices. A 1.80, 2.00 and 2.20 treble has displayed odds of 7.92. Multiplying reciprocal probabilities is valid only under an independence assumption; related legs require a joint model or the operator's combined price.

SportSignals illustration: football odds and probability for Accumulator Odds
SportSignals illustration
Key Takeaways
  • Three legs at 1.80, 2.00 and 2.20 give 1.80 x 2.00 x 2.20 = 7.92.
  • The reciprocal of the combined price is 1 / 7.92 x 100 = 12.63%.
  • DraftKings' market rules are one operator example of how voids and pushes affect multiples.
  • The larger possible return comes with a smaller joint break-even percentage.

Combined price and return

For decimal prices d1 through dn:

Combined odds = d1 x d2 x ... x dn

Three legs at 1.80, 2.00 and 2.20 give 1.80 x 2.00 x 2.20 = 7.92. A 10-unit stake has a potential gross return of 10 x 7.92 = 79.20 units and potential profit of 79.20 - 10 = 69.20 units.

Raw break-even probability

The reciprocal of the combined price is 1 / 7.92 x 100 = 12.63%. Multiplying the three raw reciprocals gives the same result:

(1 / 1.80) x (1 / 2.00) x (1 / 2.20) x 100 = 12.63%.

That multiplication describes joint probability only when the leg probabilities are independent. OpenStax distinguishes independent from dependent events. Same-match legs, shared team news and common weather can create dependence, so multiplying standalone probabilities can be wrong.

Void and push treatment

DraftKings' market rules are one operator example of how voids and pushes affect multiples. If the 2.00 leg is settled at 1.00, the revised combined price is 1.80 x 1.00 x 2.20 = 3.96. A 10-unit stake then returns 10 x 3.96 = 39.60 units.

How another leg changes the bet

Active legs at 1.80 Combined price Raw reciprocal
1 1.80 55.56%
2 3.24 30.86%
3 5.832 17.15%
4 10.4976 9.53%

The larger possible return comes with a smaller joint break-even percentage. It does not show whether any leg or the combined bet has positive expected value.

Trace how each leg changes the multiple

The combined price can be built one leg at a time. Starting with a 10-unit stake, two legs at 1.50 and 2.00 produce combined decimal odds of 3.00 and gross return of 30 units. Adding a third leg at 1.20 raises the combined price to 3.60 and gross return to 36 units. The added leg contributes only 6 units to the winning return in this example, but it also creates another condition that must settle as a win.

A contribution table makes the trade-off visible:

Stage Active prices Combined odds Gross return on 10 units
One leg 1.50 1.50 15.00
Two legs 1.50 x 2.00 3.00 30.00
Three legs 1.50 x 2.00 x 1.20 3.60 36.00

Check dependence before multiplying probabilities

Multiplying decimal payoffs is a settlement calculation. Multiplying estimated win probabilities is justified only for independent events, or by using conditional probabilities for dependent events. Two selections from the same match can share scoring, team-news or game-state drivers. The combined odds may still be displayed, but a probability assessment that assumes independence can be misleading.

Before accepting a calculated return, verify the permitted combination, each market's settlement period, treatment of void legs and whether the operator reprices related selections.

Compare the concise accumulator definition or use expected value to evaluate an explicit probability estimate.

Continue learning

Assumptions and limitations

Calculations assume all prices are accepted and no boost, cap, deduction or commission applies. Raw reciprocals contain any embedded margin. The table repeats one illustrative independent price and is not a performance forecast. If betting is affecting finances or wellbeing, the NHS support guide lists practical help.

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Sources and evidence4 sources, checked 14 Jul 2026
  1. Independent and Mutually Exclusive Events (OpenStax)Supports: Multiplication of probabilities and the distinction between independent and related events. Accessed 13 Jul 2026.
  2. Bet types and market rules (DraftKings Sportsbook)Supports: A US sportsbook example of parlay, same-game parlay, push, and void settlement rules. Accessed 13 Jul 2026.
  3. Mean or Expected Value and Standard Deviation (OpenStax)Supports: Expected value, variance, and long-run averages. Accessed 13 Jul 2026.
  4. Help for problems with gambling (NHS)Supports: Signs of gambling-related harm, practical safeguards, and treatment and support routes. Accessed 13 Jul 2026.

David Adams

Sports Analyst at SportSignals

David writes every guide in this library, checks it against current operator rules and the named statistical sources, and records what changed in each update. The same byline runs on SportSignals News.

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