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Eredivisie · MW9 Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, RotterdamRef: Serdar Gözübüyük
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Sparta Rotterdam 3-2 Willem II result, stats and report

Sparta Rotterdam
Won · xG 3.16
3 – 2
FT 11:45
Lost · xG 1.45
Willem II
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Sparta Rotterdam v AZ Alkmaar · Sun 22 Nov · Twente v Willem II · Sun 22 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Sparta RotterdamWillem IIEredivisie

The provider forecast gives Sparta Rotterdam win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.8%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Sparta Rotterdam
51.8%
Draw
24.1%
WIL
24.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.8%
Over 2.5 goals
54.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Sparta Rotterdam win was the highest probability; the match result was Sparta Rotterdam win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

52%
24%
24%
51.8%Sparta Rotterdam
24.1%Draw
24.0%WIL

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.8%No 45.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 54.3%No 45.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Sparta Rotterdam or draw at 54.3%; the most likely half-time state is Sparta Rotterdam leading at half-time at 41.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.5%.

Double Chance

1X
54.3%
12
6.1%
X2
39.5%

Half-Time Result

Sparta Rotterdam
41.6%
Draw
33.8%
WIL
24.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
WIL
Sparta Rotterdam
32.3%
5.9%
2.7%
Draw
13.5%
12.2%
10.0%
WIL
3.8%
5.4%
14.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.5%
No
90.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.