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Ligue 1 · MW7 Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'AscqRef: Clément Turpin
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Lille 1-1 Stade Brestois 29 result, stats and report

Lille
Drew · xG 2.01
1 – 1
FT
Drew · xG 0.52
Stade Brestois 29
Next: Bodø / Glimt v Lille · Tue 3 Nov · Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon · Sun 8 Nov
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Who won Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?

Lille 1-1 Stade Brestois 29, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Lille to win, which did not land.

Match Review · published 17 Oct 2026, 22:50 BST

Giroud Penalty Rescues Lille But Brest Deserve More in 1-1 Stalemate

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Brest dominated large portions of this Ligue 1 fixture but had to settle for a point after Olivier Giroud converted from the spot to cancel out Mama Baldé's early opener. Lille were second best for long stretches and will know it.

Read the review
How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 04:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29

Brest dominated large portions of this Ligue 1 fixture but had to settle for a point after Olivier Giroud converted from the spot to cancel out Mama Baldé's early opener. Lille were second best for long stretches and will know it.

Key Takeaways
Result

Lille and Stade Brestois 29 drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
6'⚽
Mama Baldé
GAssist: Gautier Lloris
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Lille 2.01 xGStade Brestois 29 0.52 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'
📊 Match recap and data context

Lille and Stade Brestois drew 1-1 at the Decathlon Arena. Mama Baldé put Brest ahead in the sixth minute, but Olivier Giroud levelled from the penalty spot in the 64th. Our model favoured Lille at 54 percent probability; the pick missed. Both teams found the net despite Lille's recent form showing just 20 percent both-teams-scoring rate against Brest's 80 percent over their last five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Lille v Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Maxima GoffiLille★ MOTM90 min7.7
  2. Egil SelvikStade Brestois 2990 min7.3
  3. Ethan MbappéLille90 min7.2
  4. Dilane BakwaLille65 min7.2
  5. Hákon Arnar HaraldssonLille90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Lille win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Lille
53.5%
Draw
24.6%
Stade Brestois 29
21.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.4%
Over 2.5 goals
49.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Lille win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Stade Brestois 29, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 19 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Stade Brestois 29, the final recorded goal situation matched 23 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Lille, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 19 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Lille, the final recorded goal situation matched 25 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 100% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Lille and Stade Brestois 29, landing 3 times across 13 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 7/13recorded league meetings saw both teams score (53.9%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 44league matches at home unbeaten for Lille.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Lille scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Stade Brestois 29 scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Lille have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
    Lille and Stade Brestois 29 drew 1-1 in the Ligue 1 at Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Mama Baldé opened the scoring in the 6th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Mama Baldé (6'), Olivier Giroud (64').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Clément Turpin officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 kicked off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time at Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Lille to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Lille play Bodø / Glimt on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time. Stade Brestois 29 play Lyon on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.