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Ligue 1 · MW7 Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'AscqRef: Clément Turpin
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Lille 1-1 Stade Brestois 29 result, stats and report

Lille
Drew · xG 2.01
1 – 1
FT
Drew · xG 0.52
Stade Brestois 29
Next: Rennes v Lille · Sun 8 Nov · Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LilleStade Brestois 29Ligue 1

The provider forecast gives Lille win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Lille
53.5%
Draw
24.6%
Stade Brestois 29
21.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.4%
Over 2.5 goals
49.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Lille win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

54%
25%
22%
53.5%Lille
24.6%Draw
21.8%Stade Brestois 29

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 50.4%No 49.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 49.4%No 50.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
6.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lille or draw at 62.1%; the most likely half-time state is Lille leading at half-time at 41.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.6%.

Double Chance

1X
62.1%
12
7.3%
X2
30.6%

Half-Time Result

Lille
41.2%
Draw
40.6%
Stade Brestois 29
18.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lille
Draw
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
34.2%
5.3%
1.6%
Draw
18.0%
14.5%
7.8%
Stade Brestois 29
2.9%
4.7%
10.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.6%
No
91.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.