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EFL Championship · MW11 Vicarage Road, WatfordRef: Thomas Bramall

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Watford vs Charlton prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
3d 6h
Watford 46%Draw 26%Charlton 27%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Watford or Charlton?

Watford vs Charlton kicks off UK time in the EFL Championship. The match is at Vicarage Road, Watford. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 51.6% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Watford has the highest forecast probability · Under 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Watford46.5%
Draw26.0%
BTTS yes52.5%

Updated

Over 2.549.0%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
6.4
xG for
4▼ -2.4
Goals
11.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
7.4
xG for
4▼ -3.4
Goals
9.5
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
WatfordNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Watford recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L11.61
2L00.60
3L00.55
4L10.43
5W21.96
6L01.26
CharltonNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Charlton recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D22.66
2D11.94
3L10.60
4D00.96
5D00.80
6L00.46
Watford have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 3 points against 5.0 expected. Charlton have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 4 points against 7.2 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Watford generated 6.4 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 4, 2.4 below that chance total. Charlton generated 7.4 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 4, 3.4 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Watford: 6 matches · Charlton: 6
Recent team comparison. Watford sample 6; Charlton sample 6.
MeasureWatfordCharlton
Goals / game0.670.67
Conceded / game2.331.67
xG / game1.071.23
xG conceded / game1.971.58
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Watford v Charlton

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~11:30
Watford11 starters
12Baxter
1Selvik
6Pollock
4Keben
25Abankwah
5Kyprianou
39Kayembe
15Bove
42Maamma
20Doumbia
9Kjerrumgaard
Charlton11 starters
5Jones
28Bree
44Clarke
17Bell
3Gillesphey
6Coventry
14Carey
7Campbell
99Dykes
11Leaburn
77Fevrier
Out / doubtful
No recorded injuries or doubts for either side.
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Watford v Charlton · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Watford vs Charlton?
    Watford vs Charlton takes place on Saturday 17 October at 12:30 (UK time) in the EFL Championship at Vicarage Road, Watford.
  • Who is the model backing in Watford vs Charlton?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score (btts), with around 52% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Charlton?
    In their last 1 meetings, Watford won 0, Charlton won 0, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 1 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Watford vs Charlton?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for EFL Championship coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Watford vs Charlton free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Watford vs Charlton are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 17 Oct, 12:30 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.