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La Liga · MW9 Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Villarreal vs Elche prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
5d 13h
Villarreal 59%Draw 24%Elche 17%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Villarreal or Elche?

Villarreal vs Elche kicks off UK time in La Liga. The match is at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal. Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No at a 47.1% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Villarreal winning 2, Elche winning 0 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Villarreal has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw23.8%
Elche17.4%
BTTS yes52.9%

Updated

Over 2.553.0%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
11.7
xG for
11▼ -0.7
Goals
9.3
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
6.5
xG for
10▲ +3.5
Goals
8.6
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
VillarrealNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Villarreal recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L00.65
2W32.90
3W33.48
4L11.69
5L21.42
6L21.61
ElcheNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Elche recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D00.89
2W30.71
3L21.50
4D11.79
5L20.59
6L21.04
Villarreal have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 6 points against 9.5 expected. Elche have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 5 points against 7.0 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Villarreal generated 11.7 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 11, 0.7 below that chance total. Elche generated 6.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 3.5 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Villarreal: 6 matches · Elche: 6
Recent team comparison. Villarreal sample 6; Elche sample 6.
MeasureVillarrealElche
Goals / game1.831.67
Conceded / game1.831.83
xG / game1.951.08
xG conceded / game1.551.43
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Villarreal v Elche

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~14:15
Villarreal11 starters
25Tenas
12Veiga
4Marín
23Cardona
18Gueye
14Comesaña
21Pino
11López
20Moleiro
22Pérez
17Buchanan
Out / doubtful
🩹 Sergi Cardona injury · 🩹 Santi Comesaña injury · 🩹 Tajon Buchanan injury · ❓ Lucas Cepeda suspended · 🩹 Buba Sangaré injury · ❓ Federico Redondo suspended · 🩹 Yago Santiago injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Villarreal v Elche · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Villarreal vs Elche?
    Villarreal vs Elche takes place on Saturday 17 October at 15:15 (UK time) in the La Liga at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal.
  • Who is the model backing in Villarreal vs Elche?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No (btts), with around 47% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Villarreal and Elche?
    In their last 2 meetings, Villarreal won 2, Elche won 0, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Villarreal vs Elche?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for La Liga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Villarreal vs Elche free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Villarreal vs Elche are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 17 Oct, 15:15 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.