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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Venezia ended a run of five consecutive Serie A defeats to beat Napoli 1-0, with Akor Adams scoring the only goal and Kevin De Bruyne missing a penalty as Napoli's afternoon fell apart completely.
Venezia ended a run of five consecutive Serie A defeats to beat Napoli 1-0, with Akor Adams scoring the only goal and Kevin De Bruyne missing a penalty as Napoli's afternoon fell apart completely.
Serie ASat 17 Oct, 14:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Venezia beat Napoli 1-0 at home.
Goals
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
Venezia won against the run of the chances: Venezia 0.92 to Napoli 2.40 on expected goals, which favoured Napoli.
First Goal
A
49'⚽
Akor Adams
SAssist: Simon Sohm
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Venezia 0.92 xGNapoli 2.40 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Napoli to win
38%Missed
Result
1:0
VEN v Napoli
Our model leaned Napoli to win at 38%. Venezia 1-0 Napoli. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Napoli travel to Venezia on Saturday, October 17th at 1 p.m. UTC for a Serie A clash at the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo. Venezia have lost three of their last five matches and seen both teams score in 67 percent of recent outings, while Napoli show steadier form with two wins in five and BTTS occurring in 40 percent of games. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Napoli win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
VEN
35.7%
Draw
25.9%
Napoli
38.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.4%
Over 2.5 goals
57.2%
Full-time forecast audit: Napoli win was the highest probability; the match result was Venezia win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.