Ligue 1 · MW7Sat, 17 Oct 2026Ref: Hakim Ben El Hadj

Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Troyes 1-3 Lens result, stats and report

Troyes

Lost · xG 1.04

1 – 3

FT 07:05

Lens

Won · xG 1.73

Match review

Next: Paris Saint Germain v Troyes · Sat 7 Nov · Lens v Marseille · Sun 8 Nov

How the model called it

3 of 3 right

TRO32.2%

Draw25.2%

Lens42.5%Right

Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 58.6%, so the model leaned overRight

Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 59.2%, so the model leaned yesRight

Published Tip · settled

Immutable ledger

Under 2.5 goalsPublished 12 Oct, 03:55 · before kick-offLost

Logged at 2.40 with Paddy Power

Paddy Power offered 2.40 when we checked at 01:05 on 17 Oct.

The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.

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Table impact

Full table →

TRO16th17th → 16th
Lens9th11th → 9th

After 9 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.

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Pick outcome

Over 2.5 goalsWon

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Plus review

Value rowsIn the review

Closing line valueSettled per row

Props edgesIn the review

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Troyes 1-3 Lens result, stats and report

How the model called it

Published Tip · settled

Table impact

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