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Ligue 1 · MW7Ref: Hakim Ben El Hadj
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Troyes 1-3 Lens result, stats and report

Troyes
Lost · xG 1.04
1 – 3
FT 07:05
Won · xG 1.73
Lens
Next: Paris Saint Germain v Troyes · Sat 7 Nov · Lens v Marseille · Sun 8 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

TroyesLensLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Lens win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.5%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

TRO
32.2%
Draw
25.2%
Lens
42.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.2%
Over 2.5 goals
58.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Lens win was the highest probability; the match result was Lens win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
25%
43%
32.2%TRO
25.2%Draw
42.5%Lens

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 59.2%No 40.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 58.6%No 41.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lens or draw at 48.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.3%.

Double Chance

1X
46.1%
12
5.6%
X2
48.3%

Half-Time Result

TRO
30.4%
Draw
37.9%
Lens
31.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
TRO
Draw
Lens
TRO
20.1%
5.2%
3.5%
Draw
10.9%
14.7%
14.0%
Lens
2.1%
6.6%
23.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.3%
No
94.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.