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EFL Championship · MW11 Carrow Road, Norwich, NorfolkRef: Gavin Ward
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Norwich 0-1 Portsmouth result, stats and report

Norwich
Lost · xG 0.49
0 – 1
FT 04:05
Won · xG 1.29
Portsmouth
Next: Derby v Norwich · Tue 3 Nov · Portsmouth v Swansea · Tue 3 Nov
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Who won Norwich vs Portsmouth?

Norwich 0-1 Portsmouth, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

Match Review · published 17 Oct 2026, 17:20 BST

Portsmouth Punish Spineless Norwich With Penalty Win at Carrow Road

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Marko Milovanović's 51st-minute penalty settled a dull Championship contest as Portsmouth held their nerve to beat Norwich 1-0, a result that flatters neither side but one Norwich have no right to complain about.

Read the review
How it played out

Portsmouth won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 01:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Norwich 0–1 Portsmouth

Marko Milovanović's 51st-minute penalty settled a dull Championship contest as Portsmouth held their nerve to beat Norwich 1-0, a result that flatters neither side but one Norwich have no right to complain about.

Key Takeaways
Result

Portsmouth won 1-0 away at Norwich.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Norwich 0.49 to Portsmouth 1.29 on expected goals.

Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Norwich 0.49 xGPortsmouth 1.29 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Norwich to win

54%Missed

Result

Norwich0:1Portsmouth

Norwich v Portsmouth

Our model leaned Norwich to win at 54%. Norwich 0-1 Portsmouth. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Norwich fell to Portsmouth at Carrow Road, losing 0-1 in the Championship. Our model backed a Norwich win at 54% probability; the pick missed. Marko Milovanović converted a penalty in the 51st minute to settle the contest. Norwich had won just once in their previous five matches, while Portsmouth arrived with two wins from their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Norwich v Portsmouth · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Abu KamaraPortsmouth★ MOTM90 min7.5
  2. Regan PoolePortsmouth90 min7.4
  3. Jack StaceyNorwich90 min7.3
  4. Zak SwansonPortsmouth90 min7.1
  5. Ruairi McConvilleNorwich90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Norwich win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Norwich
53.6%
Draw
23.2%
Portsmouth
23.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.1%
Over 2.5 goals
56.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Norwich win was the highest probability; the match result was Portsmouth win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Portsmouth, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 9 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Portsmouth, the final recorded goal situation matched 16 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Norwich, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 9 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Norwich, the final recorded goal situation matched 29 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Norwich and Portsmouth, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 3/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (75%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Norwich scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Portsmouth scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Norwich have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Portsmouth have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Norwich vs Portsmouth?
    Portsmouth beat Norwich 1-0 in the EFL Championship at Carrow Road.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Marko Milovanović opened the scoring in the 51st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Marko Milovanović (51').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Gavin Ward officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Norwich vs Portsmouth kicked off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time at Carrow Road.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    2 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Norwich play Derby on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time. Portsmouth play Swansea on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.