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EFL Championship · MW11 Carrow Road, Norwich, NorfolkRef: Gavin Ward
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Norwich 0-1 Portsmouth result, stats and report

Norwich
Lost · xG 0.49
0 – 1
FT 04:05
Won · xG 1.29
Portsmouth
Next: Derby v Norwich · Tue 3 Nov · Portsmouth v Swansea · Tue 3 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NorwichPortsmouthEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Norwich win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Norwich
53.6%
Draw
23.2%
Portsmouth
23.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.1%
Over 2.5 goals
56.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Norwich win was the highest probability; the match result was Portsmouth win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

54%
23%
23%
53.6%Norwich
23.2%Draw
23.2%Portsmouth

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 57.1%No 42.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 56.9%No 43.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.6%
2-1
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Norwich or draw at 61.2%; the most likely half-time state is Norwich leading at half-time at 42.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.8%.

Double Chance

1X
61.2%
12
5.6%
X2
33.2%

Half-Time Result

Norwich
42.2%
Draw
39.7%
Portsmouth
18.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Norwich
Draw
Portsmouth
Norwich
34.3%
4.8%
1.7%
Draw
17.1%
14.6%
8.2%
Portsmouth
3.6%
4.5%
11.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.8%
No
89.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.