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Toronto face New York City at home on Sunday 30 August at 00:30. The club's statistical model suggests a 37.2 per cent probability of victory in this fixture.
This represents a significant challenge for the side as they continue their 2026 campaign. The home advantage may prove decisive in what is expected to be a competitive encounter.
The model publishes a neutral probability for every covered fixture; the current view is on the predictions page. Regional prices and quote-derived judgements are kept outside this shared page.
Direct, high-confidence reporting about Toronto; unrelated latest-news filler is omitted.
Compare Toronto against any covered club with the comparison tool, or read how every number on this page is produced in the methodology.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
