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Major League SoccerRef: Allen Chapman
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Toronto 2-1 CF Montréal result, stats and report

Toronto
Won · xG 1.58
2 – 1
FT 07:35
Lost · xG 1.12
CF Montréal
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Philadelphia Union v Toronto · Sat 7 Nov · CF Montréal v Vancouver Whitecaps · Sat 7 Nov
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Who won Toronto vs CF Montréal?

Toronto 2-1 CF Montréal, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Toronto to win, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

TOR won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 07:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Toronto 2–1 CF Montréal

CF Montréal arrive at Toronto having conceded 14 goals in their last five matches. Toronto have not lost in five. This one writes itself.

Key Takeaways
Result

Toronto beat CF Montréal 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
D
51'⚽
Daniel Ríos
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Toronto 1.58 xGCF Montréal 1.12 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Toronto to win

49%Matched

Result

Toronto2:1CF Montréal

TOR v CFM

Our model called Toronto to win at 49%. Toronto 2-1 CF Montréal. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Toronto defeated CF Montréal 2-1 in Major League Soccer, landing our model's 49% pick for a Toronto win. Daniel Ríos put Montréal ahead in the 51st minute, but Toronto stormed back with goals from Lewis Morgan and Djordje Mihailovic in stoppage time to snatch the result. Both teams found the net, fitting the 60% BTTS rate in Toronto's recent form. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Toronto v CF Montréal · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Alexis SánchezCFM★ MOTM72 min7.4
  2. Luca PetrassoCFM90 min7.3
  3. Daniel RíosCFM1 goal · 86 min7.2
  4. Prince OwusuCFM90 min7.2
  5. Niklas DorschTOR1 assist · 90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Toronto win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

TOR
49.1%
Draw
25.5%
CFM
25.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.8%
Over 2.5 goals
52.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Toronto win was the highest probability; the match result was Toronto win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For CF Montréal, the final recorded goal situation matched 10 comparable matches from 46 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For CF Montréal, the final recorded goal situation matched 19 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Toronto, the final recorded goal situation matched 10 comparable matches from 46 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Toronto, the final recorded goal situation matched 16 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Toronto and CF Montréal, landing 4 times across 38 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 22/38recorded league meetings saw both teams score (57.9%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 19league matches at home unbeaten for Toronto.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Toronto scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • CF Montréal scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Toronto have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Toronto vs CF Montréal?
    TOR beat CFM 2-1 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Daniel Ríos opened the scoring in the 51st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Daniel Ríos (51'), Lewis Morgan (93'), Djordje Mihailovic (95').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Allen Chapman officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    TOR vs CFM kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Toronto to win, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    TOR play Philadelphia Union on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. CFM play CF Montréal on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.