18:00
Model: Toronto win 49%
Likely score 1-1 11%BTTS Yes 55%Over 2.5 53%1st half: Draw 42%
Major League Soccer 2026
United StatesVerified data30 teams 5 clips this week
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Vancouver Whitecaps lead Major League Soccer's 2026 campaign with 50 points from 27 matches, though Nashville SC sit second with 60 points. The league remains competitive as the season progresses through its fixture schedule.
Toronto face CF Montréal on Saturday 10 October at 18:00. Statistical modelling indicates a Toronto win at 49.13 per cent probability, reflecting a marginal advantage in the matchup.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | +31 | 50 |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | +34 | 60 |
| 2 | New England | 27 | +9 | 46 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | +12 | 47 |
| 15 | CF Montréal | 27 | -20 | 24 |
| 15 | Sporting KC | 27 | -33 | 21 |
xG coverage: 301 of 385 2026 matches hold verified per-match xG. Missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Vancouver Whitecaps lead the table with 50 points from 27 matches (W15 D5 L7).
The full standings, with home and away splits and the xG view of who deserved their position, live on the table page.
Across the 301 covered matches, Major League Soccer fixtures averaged 2.95 expected goals per match.
Expected goals aggregate the quality of every chance rather than just the outcome. The deserved-standings view on the table page compares each team's goals with the chances they actually created and faced.
The model prices every covered fixture across dozens of markets: start with the Major League Soccer predictions and odds comparison, where any regional commercial experience is kept outside this shared league document. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+, GambleAware.
Full-time result accuracy across 4,236 settled pre-kickoff predictions, all leagues. Every prediction is frozen before kick-off and counted, right or wrong.
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