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Toronto's expected goals for in the 2026 season stood at 14.6 across 14 matches covered, with an attack delta of 4.4 indicating their finishing performance relative to chances created. Their expected goals against totalled 22.1, whilst a defence delta of 1.9 suggested modest overperformance in limiting actual goals conceded.
Across the 19 goals covered, Toronto finished 14 of them. They conceded 24 goals across the matches where expected goals against data was available, demonstrating a notable gap between defensive expectations and outcomes.
Covered sample: 19 scored from 14.6 xG, 24 conceded from 22.1 xGA over 14 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
