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Major League SoccerRef: Lukasz Szpala
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

St. Louis City 3-1 Toronto result, stats and report

St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Won · xG 2.35
3 – 1
FT 16:55
Toronto
Lost · xG 0.89
Toronto
Match review
Next: St. Louis City v Portland Timbers · Thu 29 Oct · Toronto v DC United · Wed 28 Oct
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Who won St. Louis City vs Toronto?

St. Louis City 3-1 Toronto, full time in Major League Soccer. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land.

How it played out

LOU won it 3–1

LOUTOR

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 16:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

St. Louis City 3–1 Toronto

St. Louis City put in a commanding performance against Toronto, winning 3-1 with goals from Carlo Holse, Tomas Totland, and Simon Becher to continue their unbeaten run in Major League Soccer.

Major League SoccerSun 20 Sept, 01:30
Key Takeaways
Result

St. Louis City beat Toronto 3-1 at home.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: St. Louis City 2.35 to Toronto 0.89 on expected goals.

First Goal
C
41'⚽
Carlo Holse
AAssist: Alexandru Mățan
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Louis City 2.35 xGToronto 0.89 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

St. Louis City to win

55%Matched

Result

St. Louis City3:1Toronto

LOU v TOR

Our model called St. Louis City to win at 55%. St. Louis City 3-1 Toronto. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

St. Louis City defeated Toronto 3-1 in MLS action. Our model backed a St. Louis City win at 55% probability, and the pick landed. Goals from Carlo Holse, Tomas Totland, and Simon Becher in the first and second halves secured the result. St. Louis City extended a strong run of three wins and two draws across their last five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

St. Louis City v Toronto · Major League Soccer ·

More from this competition: Major League Soccer predictions · Major League Soccer odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Dante Polvara★ MOTM12 min6.8
  2. Niklas Dorsch62 min6.7
  3. Damion Downs7 min6.6
  4. Richie Laryea90 min6.5
  5. Jonathan Osorio28 min6.5

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

St. Louis CityTorontoMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives St. Louis City win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LOU
55.3%
Draw
25.0%
TOR
19.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.0%
Over 2.5 goals
52.7%

Full-time forecast audit: St. Louis City win was the highest probability; the match result was St. Louis City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between St. Louis City and Toronto, landing once across 1 league meeting on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 12league matches at home unbeaten for St. Louis City.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • St. Louis City scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Toronto scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • St. Louis City have averaged 2.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Toronto have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Roman Bürki has the highest listed average xGOT for St. Louis City at 0.99 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in St. Louis City vs Toronto?
    LOU beat TOR 3-1 in the Major League Soccer.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Carlo Holse opened the scoring in the 41st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Carlo Holse (41'), Tomas Totland (54'), Simon Becher (68'), Theo Corbeanu (97').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Lukasz Szpala officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    LOU vs TOR kicked off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    12 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    LOU play St. Louis City on Thursday, 29 October 2026 UK time. TOR play Toronto on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.