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Major League SoccerRef: Lukasz Szpala
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

St. Louis City 3-1 Toronto result, stats and report

St. Louis City
Won · xG 2.35
3 – 1
FT 16:55
Lost · xG 0.89
Toronto
Next: St. Louis City v Portland Timbers · Thu 29 Oct · Toronto v DC United · Wed 28 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

St. Louis CityTorontoMajor League Soccer

The provider forecast gives St. Louis City win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LOU
55.3%
Draw
25.0%
TOR
19.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.0%
Over 2.5 goals
52.7%

Full-time forecast audit: St. Louis City win was the highest probability; the match result was St. Louis City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

55%
25%
20%
55.3%LOU
25.0%Draw
19.7%TOR

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 52.0%No 48.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 52.7%No 47.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LOU or draw at 60.4%; the most likely half-time state is LOU leading at half-time at 42.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.6%.

Double Chance

1X
60.4%
12
7.5%
X2
32.2%

Half-Time Result

LOU
42.9%
Draw
38.3%
TOR
18.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LOU
Draw
TOR
LOU
35.2%
6.1%
2.2%
Draw
16.9%
13.8%
6.6%
TOR
4.3%
4.6%
10.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.6%
No
88.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.