Millwall xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Millwall xG picture

Updated 19 Sept 2026, 21:10 BST

Across the 8 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Millwall scored 15 from 16.5 expected goals and conceded 15 from 11.5 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 1.5 goals and the defence conceded 3.5 more than expected. Coverage is 8 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

8 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored15

Expected (xG)16.5

Underperformed by 1.5 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded15

Expected against (xGA)11.5

Conceded 3.5 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Millwall better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 15 scored from 16.5 xG, 15 conceded from 11.5 xGA over 8 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.