No Hiding Place: Millwall and Burnley Meet With Neither Side Able to Keep a Clean Sheet
Two sides who cannot stop leaking goals meet at The Den on Saturday. Something has to give, and the evidence says it probably will.
Millwall host Burnley in the EFL Championship on Saturday 28 November 2026, and the data tells you one thing straight away. Neither of these teams can keep the ball out of their own net with any consistency. If you are looking for a tight, disciplined defensive contest, look elsewhere.
Millwall: The Basics Are Not There
The thing is, one win from their last five Championship matches is not a platform to build anything from. Millwall's form reads LDLWD going into this one. They have conceded seven goals across those five matches and kept just one clean sheet. That is a 20 per cent clean sheet rate. Unacceptable for a side that should be making The Den a fortress.
Their injury situation makes it worse. Three players are absent, including two with major injuries and one who has been out long term since August. When you are short of bodies, you need the ones on the pitch to cover for each other. That demands attitude and desire. The question is whether Millwall have enough of both right now.
Their only win in this sample was a 1-0 against Preston. They drew 2-2 with both Lincoln City and West Ham United. They lost 1-2 to Portsmouth and 0-1 to Swansea. That loss to Portsmouth is the one that would stick in my throat. You cannot lose to Portsmouth at home and then wonder why confidence is low.
Burnley: Goals Everywhere, Defence Nowhere
Listen, Burnley are not much better. Their last five Championship matches produced nine goals for and nine goals against. That is a team with no defensive discipline whatsoever. Their form reads LLDWD. They lost 1-4 to Lincoln City and 1-2 to Wolves. Before that, they drew 2-2 with Charlton.
The only bright spot in Burnley's recent sample was a 4-0 win over Watford. That result flatters them. One convincing result does not change what the eye tells you about this side. They have a 20 per cent clean sheet rate and both teams scored in 80 per cent of their last five matches. That is not a defence. That is an invitation.
Both teams will take encouragement from playing Burnley's backline. That is the problem when your defensive standards are this low. You become the team everyone fancies to score against.
The Bet: Both Teams to Score
I do not need to overcomplicate this. Both teams have scored in four of Millwall's last five and four of Burnley's last five. The clean sheet numbers are poor on both sides. The injuries at Millwall add further pressure to a defence that was already struggling. Both teams to score is the logical conclusion here. It is not glamorous. It is just what the evidence points to. End of.
What to Watch
Millwall need to show some desire at The Den. Home advantage should mean something. Their supporters demand accountability from the players and rightly so. If Millwall cannot compete for 90 minutes against a Burnley side that has lost two of their last five, then the problems run deeper than a few injuries.
Burnley, for their part, need to show they are more than a team that beats Watford 4-0 and then gets cut apart by Lincoln. The 1-4 loss is not something you brush under the carpet. Standards have to be higher than that at this level.
This will not be pretty. But it will probably produce goals. Saturday at The Den. Neither side with anything to feel comfortable about. That suits me fine.
Related: Form: Millwall · Form: Burnley · Head-to-head: Millwall vs Burnley
Match data, form summaries, and head-to-head records are sourced from integrated football data feeds. Prediction probabilities, where shown, are supplied by Sportmonks and are labelled separately from derived SportSignals comparisons.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Millwall's recent form heading into this match?
Millwall have won one, drawn two, and lost two of their last five EFL Championship matches before this fixture. They have conceded seven goals in that sample and kept just one clean sheet.
What is Burnley's recent form ahead of the Millwall fixture?
Burnley have won one, drawn two, and lost two of their last five EFL Championship matches. They have conceded nine goals in that sample, with both teams scoring in four of those five matches.
Are there any injury concerns for Millwall going into this game?
Yes. Millwall have three players unavailable, including one long-term absentee who has been out since August and two others with major injuries who have also been absent since late August. That is a significant blow to their squad depth.

