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PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam, full time in the Eredivisie. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and PSV Eindhoven won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Sven Mijnans scored three times as PSV Eindhoven dismantled Sparta Rotterdam 4-1 at home, extending their unbeaten Eredivisie run with a performance that was dominant from the first whistle.
Sven Mijnans scored three times as PSV Eindhoven dismantled Sparta Rotterdam 4-1 at home, extending their unbeaten Eredivisie run with a performance that was dominant from the first whistle.
EredivisieSun 13 Sept, 19:00
Key Takeaways
Result
PSV Eindhoven beat Sparta Rotterdam 4-1 at home.
Goals
5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: PSV Eindhoven 3.80 to Sparta Rotterdam 1.91 on expected goals.
First Goal
M
15'⚽
Milan Zonneveld
BAssist: Bas Kuipers
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
PSV Eindhoven 3.80 xGSparta Rotterdam 1.91 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
PSV Eindhoven to win
59%Matched
Result
4:1
PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam
Our model called PSV Eindhoven to win at 59%. PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
PSV Eindhoven beat Sparta Rotterdam 4-1 at Philips Stadion in an Eredivisie match where our model's pick of a PSV win at 59% probability landed cleanly. The hosts dominated a Sparta side in poor form, extending their own run to four wins in five games. Both teams found the net, continuing a pattern of both scoring in each of PSV's recent outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives PSV Eindhoven win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
PSV Eindhoven
59.3%
Draw
20.8%
Sparta Rotterdam
19.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.6%
Over 2.5 goals
67.7%
Full-time forecast audit: PSV Eindhoven win was the highest probability; the match result was PSV Eindhoven win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
1-0is the most common scoreline between PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam, landing 3 times across 17 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
9/17recorded league meetings saw both teams score (52.9%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
46league matches at home unbeaten for PSV Eindhoven.Immutable kick-off snapshot
PSV Eindhoven scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
Sparta Rotterdam scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
PSV Eindhoven have averaged 3.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Sparta Rotterdam have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Ricardo Pepi has the highest listed average xGOT for PSV Eindhoven at 0.64 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Milan Zonneveld has the highest listed average xGOT for Sparta Rotterdam at 0.48 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?