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Eredivisie · MW6 Philips Stadion, EindhovenRef: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam result, stats and report

PSV Eindhoven
Won · xG 3.80
4 – 1
FT 12:05
Lost · xG 1.91
Sparta Rotterdam
Next: Porto v PSV Eindhoven · Tue 20 Oct · Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PSV EindhovenSparta RotterdamEredivisie

The provider forecast gives PSV Eindhoven win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PSV Eindhoven
59.3%
Draw
20.8%
Sparta Rotterdam
19.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.6%
Over 2.5 goals
67.7%

Full-time forecast audit: PSV Eindhoven win was the highest probability; the match result was PSV Eindhoven win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

59%
21%
20%
59.3%PSV Eindhoven
20.8%Draw
19.9%Sparta Rotterdam

Both Teams to Score

63%
Yes 62.6%No 37.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

68%
Yes 67.7%No 32.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
47%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PSV Eindhoven or draw at 63.3%; the most likely half-time state is PSV Eindhoven leading at half-time at 51.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 19.3%.

Double Chance

1X
63.3%
12
3.8%
X2
32.9%

Half-Time Result

PSV Eindhoven
51.1%
Draw
29.9%
Sparta Rotterdam
19.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven
40.5%
5.5%
2.3%
Draw
16.3%
9.4%
5.5%
Sparta Rotterdam
4.4%
5.4%
10.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
19.3%
No
80.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.