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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Maximilian Beier's 70th-minute finish was enough for Borussia Dortmund to take all three points at Stuttgart, winning 1-0 despite carrying five yellow cards and being outpossessed for the entire match.
Maximilian Beier's 70th-minute finish was enough for Borussia Dortmund to take all three points at Stuttgart, winning 1-0 despite carrying five yellow cards and being outpossessed for the entire match.
BundesligaSat 19 Sept, 17:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Borussia Dortmund won 1-0 away at VfB Stuttgart.
Goals
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
M
70'⚽
Maximilian Beier
JAssist: Jobe Bellingham
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart 0.91 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.55 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
VfB Stuttgart to win
44%Missed
Result
0:1
VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund
Our model leaned VfB Stuttgart to win at 44%. VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Borussia Dortmund won 1-0 at Stuttgart, with Maximilian Beier scoring in the 70th minute. Our model backed Stuttgart at 44 percent probability; the pick missed. Dortmund controlled the match and broke through late, while Stuttgart managed only limited chances despite their recent pattern of both teams scoring in every game. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives VfB Stuttgart win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
VfB Stuttgart
43.9%
Draw
22.5%
Borussia Dortmund
33.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
67.6%
Over 2.5 goals
69.2%
Full-time forecast audit: VfB Stuttgart win was the highest probability; the match result was Borussia Dortmund win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
2-1is the most common scoreline between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, landing 3 times across 22 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
15/22recorded league meetings saw both teams score (68.2%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
17league matches at home unbeaten for VfB Stuttgart.Immutable kick-off snapshot
21league matches away from home unbeaten for Borussia Dortmund.Immutable kick-off snapshot
VfB Stuttgart scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
Borussia Dortmund scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
VfB Stuttgart have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Borussia Dortmund have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Deniz Undav has the highest listed average xGOT for VfB Stuttgart at 0.67 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Luca Reggiani has the highest listed average xGOT for Borussia Dortmund at 0.82 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?