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Bundesliga · MW4 Stuttgart Arena, StuttgartRef: Tobias Stieler
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund result, stats and report

VfB Stuttgart
Lost · xG 0.91
0 – 1
FT 07:15
Won · xG 1.55
Borussia Dortmund
Next: Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · Sat 31 Oct · Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?

VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund, full time in the Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was VfB Stuttgart to win, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Borussia Dortmund won it.

Match Review · published 19 Sept 2026, 22:30 BST

Beier Breaks Stuttgart: Dortmund Win 1-0 With Backs to the Wall

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Maximilian Beier's 70th-minute finish was enough for Borussia Dortmund to take all three points at Stuttgart, winning 1-0 despite carrying five yellow cards and being outpossessed for the entire match.

Read the review
How it played out

Borussia Dortmund won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 07:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund

Maximilian Beier's 70th-minute finish was enough for Borussia Dortmund to take all three points at Stuttgart, winning 1-0 despite carrying five yellow cards and being outpossessed for the entire match.

Key Takeaways
Result

Borussia Dortmund won 1-0 away at VfB Stuttgart.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
70'⚽
Maximilian Beier
JAssist: Jobe Bellingham
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

VfB Stuttgart 0.91 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.55 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

VfB Stuttgart to win

44%Missed

Result

VfB Stuttgart0:1Borussia Dortmund

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund

Our model leaned VfB Stuttgart to win at 44%. VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Borussia Dortmund won 1-0 at Stuttgart, with Maximilian Beier scoring in the 70th minute. Our model backed Stuttgart at 44 percent probability; the pick missed. Dortmund controlled the match and broke through late, while Stuttgart managed only limited chances despite their recent pattern of both teams scoring in every game. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Maximilian MittelstädtVfB Stuttgart★ MOTM90 min8.1
  2. Gregor KobelBorussia Dortmund90 min7.8
  3. Felix NmechaBorussia Dortmund90 min7.7
  4. Nico SchlotterbeckBorussia Dortmund90 min7.4
  5. Joey Veerman62 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives VfB Stuttgart win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

VfB Stuttgart
43.9%
Draw
22.5%
Borussia Dortmund
33.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
67.6%
Over 2.5 goals
69.2%

Full-time forecast audit: VfB Stuttgart win was the highest probability; the match result was Borussia Dortmund win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-1is the most common scoreline between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, landing 3 times across 22 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 15/22recorded league meetings saw both teams score (68.2%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 17league matches at home unbeaten for VfB Stuttgart.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 21league matches away from home unbeaten for Borussia Dortmund.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • VfB Stuttgart scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Borussia Dortmund scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • VfB Stuttgart have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Borussia Dortmund have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Deniz Undav has the highest listed average xGOT for VfB Stuttgart at 0.67 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Luca Reggiani has the highest listed average xGOT for Borussia Dortmund at 0.82 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
    Borussia Dortmund beat VfB Stuttgart 1-0 in the Bundesliga at Stuttgart Arena.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Maximilian Beier opened the scoring in the 70th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Maximilian Beier (70').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 7 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Tobias Stieler officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time at Stuttgart Arena.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was VfB Stuttgart to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    VfB Stuttgart play Bayer Leverkusen on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. Borussia Dortmund play Bayern München on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.