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The 2026/27 season opens with FSV Mainz 05 against Paderborn on Saturday 29 August at 14:30 UK time.
The model rates a FSV Mainz 05 win at 40%.
xG coverage: 35 of 283 2025/26 matches hold verified per-match xG. Missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Across the 35 covered matches, Bundesliga fixtures averaged 3.54 expected goals per match.
Expected goals aggregate the quality of every chance rather than just the outcome. The deserved-standings view on the table page compares each team's goals with the chances they actually created and faced.
The model prices every covered fixture across dozens of markets: start with the Bundesliga predictions and odds comparison, where any regional commercial experience is kept outside this shared league document. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+, GambleAware.
Full-time result accuracy across 2,947 settled pre-kickoff predictions, all leagues. Every prediction is frozen before kick-off and counted, right or wrong.
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