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Bundesliga · MW12 Leipzig Stadium, Leipzig

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back RB Leipzig or FSV Mainz 05?

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 kicks off UK time in the Bundesliga. The match is at Leipzig Stadium, Leipzig. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with RB Leipzig winning 1, FSV Mainz 05 winning 1 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

RB Leipzig v FSV Mainz 05: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
10.6
xG for
11▲ +0.4
Goals
12.1
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
12.6
xG for
12▼ -0.6
Goals
11.7
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
RB LeipzigNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

RB Leipzig recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L21.10
2W22.75
3W42.54
4L11.15
5L10.96
6W12.12
FSV Mainz 05Newest first

Goalsoutlined xG

FSV Mainz 05 recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L11.70
2L21.93
3W10.98
4L32.72
5W42.85
6L12.41
FSV Mainz 05 have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 6 points against 9.2 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
RB Leipzig generated 10.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 11, 0.4 above that chance total. FSV Mainz 05 generated 12.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 12, 0.6 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

RB Leipzig: 6 matches · FSV Mainz 05: 6
Recent team comparison. RB Leipzig sample 6; FSV Mainz 05 sample 6.
MeasureRB LeipzigFSV Mainz 05
Goals / game1.832
Conceded / game2.172.83
xG / game1.772.1
xG conceded / game2.021.95
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch RB Leipzig v FSV Mainz 05

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~13:30
RB Leipzig11 starters
26Vandevoordt
4Orbán
22Raum
23Lukeba
17Baku
8Aynaoui
6Banzuzi
7Nusa
10Gruda
18Nkunku
40Rômulo
FSV Mainz 0511 starters
25Schwolow
48Potulski
2Mwenedoubt
4Poschdoubt
4Gruber
21Costa
6Sano
10Amiri
7Lee
18Becker
20Tietz
Out / doubtful
🩹 Maxime Estève injury · 🩹 Marc Guiu injury · ❓ Nicolas Seiwald suspended · 🩹 Samba Konaté injury · 🩹 Benno Kaltefleiter injury · 🩹 Max Finkgräfe injury · 🩹 Assan Ouédraogo injury · 🩹 Christoph Baumgartner injury · ❓ Leopold Zingerle suspended · ❓ Stefan Posch suspended · ❓ Phillipp Mwene suspended · 🩹 Dominik Kohr injury · 🩹 Maxim Leitsch injury · 🩹 Nadiem Amiri injury · 🩹 Silas injury · 🩹 Robin Zentner injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

RB Leipzig v FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05?
    RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 takes place on Saturday 5 December at 14:30 (UK time) in the Bundesliga at Leipzig Stadium, Leipzig.
  • What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05?
    In their last 2 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, FSV Mainz 05 won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2.
  • How can I watch RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Bundesliga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 5 Dec, 14:30 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.