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Bundesliga ยท MW4 Stuttgart Arena, StuttgartRef: Tobias Stieler
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VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund result, stats and report

VfB Stuttgart
Lost ยท xG 0.91
0 โ€“ 1
FT
Won ยท xG 1.55
Borussia Dortmund
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Match report

Beier Breaks Stuttgart: Dortmund Win 1-0 With Backs to the Wall

SportSignals Match Desk ยท Football analysis desk ยท

Stuttgart had the ball. Stuttgart had the corners. Stuttgart had the crosses. What Stuttgart did not have was a goal. Borussia Dortmund came to the MHP Arena on Saturday evening, made it ugly, absorbed everything thrown at them, and left with a 1-0 win. That is the basics of winning football. End of.

The Game Stuttgart Could Not Win

Look at the numbers on paper and you would back Stuttgart comfortably. They had 56 per cent possession. They had more shots on target. They won 27 crosses to Dortmund's 12. They had six corners to two. They put nine shots on target across the 90 minutes combined, with Stuttgart managing five of those. On the surface, Stuttgart were the better side going forward.

The thing is, Stuttgart created zero big chances. None. Dortmund created three and missed two of them. That is the difference between a side with desire and a side that is busy competing without actually threatening. Stuttgart were active. They were not dangerous enough. When it mattered, they could not find the moment.

Dortmund's goalkeeper was called into action five times. Stuttgart's keeper made one save. One. That tells you everything about the quality of Stuttgart's attacking output versus the actual threat Dortmund posed every time they got into the final third.

Beier Does the Damage

The goal came on 70 minutes. Maximilian Beier, who had come on as a substitute at 62 minutes alongside Jobe Bellingham, finished with his right foot. Bellingham got the assist. It was a moment of real quality from two players who had been on the pitch for less than ten minutes. That is what proper attacking substitutions look like. You bring players on to change the game. Dortmund's bench did exactly that.

Stuttgart's response was to bring on Jamie Leweling and Dzenan Pejcinovic at 64 minutes, then Nikolas Nartey and Leo Sauer at 84 minutes. Four changes, no goals. The attitude to keep trying was there. The quality to convert was not. You cannot legislate for that. But it is unacceptable to create zero big chances at home when you are chasing a winner.

Dortmund's Discipline Was a Disgrace

Now. Let me be straight about something. Dortmund were a shambles disciplinarily. Five yellow cards in a single match. Nico Schlotterbeck, Joey Veerman, Joane Gadou, Jobe Bellingham and Julian Ryerson all went into the book. Veerman got his card at the stroke of half time and was substituted off at 62 minutes, which you have to assume was not coincidental. You cannot play with that level of recklessness.

Ryerson was booked for an argument at 82 minutes. Arguing with the referee after you have already got four teammates in the book. That is a total lack of accountability from a senior player. Dortmund will have got away with that tonight. They will not always.

Stuttgart were no angels either. Ermedin Demirovic was booked for an argument at 13 minutes. Angelo Stiller, already carrying a minor injury coming into the match, collected a yellow for a foul at 17 minutes. Two Stuttgart men booked in the opening 20 minutes against a Dortmund side that then went on to pick up five. The referee had his hands full all night.

The Absence Problem

Stuttgart went into this match with a significant number of players unavailable. Long-term injuries, major injuries, moderate injuries and two suspensions all affected their squad. The scale of it was notable. Whether that contributed to the inability to find a decisive moment in the final third is a fair question. But I will not use it as an excuse. You field what you have and you compete. Stuttgart competed. They just could not finish the job.

Dortmund also had absentees, including two long-term injury concerns and a player suspended, but they had enough to get the job done. Sometimes the difference between two squads in similar situations is the quality of who remains available. On this occasion Dortmund had Beier on the bench. That counted.

Stuttgart's Recent Bundesliga Form Is a Warning Sign

Across their last five Bundesliga matches before tonight, Stuttgart won two, drew one and lost two. They shipped 11 goals and scored 11. A side that cannot keep a clean sheet is a side with a problem at the back. Their clean sheet percentage in that five-match window was zero. Dortmund kept a clean sheet tonight. That contrast in defensive standards was the margin.

The head-to-head record between these two clubs in this competition, based on available data, reads one meeting, one Dortmund win and one Stuttgart clean sheet conceded. April's meeting ended 2-0 to Dortmund. Tonight ended 1-0 to Dortmund. Stuttgart simply cannot find a way past them right now. That is a standards issue and it needs addressing.

What Dortmund's Form Tells You

Dortmund came into this match with five wins from their last five Bundesliga matches. Thirteen goals scored, four conceded. A clean sheet percentage of 60 per cent in that same window. They were not playing pretty tonight. They were playing smart. They sat off when they needed to, competed for every duel, won 50 duels to Stuttgart's 48, and made the one moment count. That is the mentality of a side that knows how to win.

Listen, Dortmund were not brilliant tonight. They were effective. There is a big difference. A side that can grind out a 1-0 away win with five yellow cards, missing big chances, and facing a home side with more of the ball is a side with a winning mentality embedded in it. Stuttgart need to find that same ruthlessness at the sharp end of matches. Right now, they are lacking it.

The Verdict

Borussia Dortmund win 1-0 in Stuttgart. Beier off the bench, Bellingham with the assist, one moment of quality, three points taken. Stuttgart can point to their stats all they like. The scoreboard is the only stat that matters. Dortmund have it. Stuttgart do not. That is the game.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.