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Bundesliga · MW4 Stuttgart Arena, StuttgartRef: Tobias Stieler
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund result, stats and report

VfB Stuttgart
Lost · xG 0.91
0 – 1
FT 07:15
Won · xG 1.55
Borussia Dortmund
Next: Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart · Sat 31 Oct · Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

VfB StuttgartBorussia DortmundBundesliga

The provider forecast gives VfB Stuttgart win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

VfB Stuttgart
43.9%
Draw
22.5%
Borussia Dortmund
33.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
67.6%
Over 2.5 goals
69.2%

Full-time forecast audit: VfB Stuttgart win was the highest probability; the match result was Borussia Dortmund win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
23%
34%
43.9%VfB Stuttgart
22.5%Draw
33.6%Borussia Dortmund

Both Teams to Score

68%
Yes 67.6%No 32.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

69%
Yes 69.2%No 30.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
87%
Over 2.5
69%
Over 3.5
48%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
1-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates VfB Stuttgart or draw at 58.7%; the most likely half-time state is VfB Stuttgart leading at half-time at 41.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 12.6%.

Double Chance

1X
58.7%
12
3.1%
X2
38.1%

Half-Time Result

VfB Stuttgart
41.0%
Draw
35.7%
Borussia Dortmund
23.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
VfB Stuttgart
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
32.1%
6.0%
3.0%
Draw
14.9%
11.9%
8.9%
Borussia Dortmund
3.8%
4.6%
14.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
12.6%
No
87.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.