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Norwegian Eliteserien · MW21Ref: Mohammad Usman Aslam
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Fredrikstad 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 result, stats and report

Fredrikstad
Drew · xG 1.77
1 – 1
FT 11:05
Drew · xG 0.27
Sarpsborg 08
Next: Molde v Fredrikstad · Sun 25 Oct · Sarpsborg 08 v Aalesund · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FredrikstadSarpsborg 08Norwegian Eliteserien

The provider forecast gives Fredrikstad win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FRE
40.8%
Draw
25.5%
SAR
33.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.8%
Over 2.5 goals
53.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Fredrikstad win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
25%
34%
40.8%FRE
25.5%Draw
33.8%SAR

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.8%No 43.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 53.7%No 46.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates FRE or draw at 49.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.4%.

Double Chance

1X
49.6%
12
6.3%
X2
44.1%

Half-Time Result

FRE
31.9%
Draw
39.6%
SAR
28.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
FRE
Draw
SAR
FRE
23.7%
5.3%
3.2%
Draw
13.2%
14.6%
11.7%
SAR
2.9%
5.7%
19.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.4%
No
93.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.