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Norwegian Eliteserien · MW12Ref: Mischa Huru Kellerhals

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
2d 9h
SAR 43%Draw 24%AAL 34%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Sarpsborg 08 or Aalesund?

Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund kicks off UK time in Norwegian Eliteserien. Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No at a 37.5% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and Sarpsborg 08 won it.

Match intelligence · not a tip

SAR has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
SAR42.7%
Draw23.6%
AAL33.7%
BTTS yes62.5%

Updated

Over 2.562.6%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Sarpsborg 08 and Aalesund, landing 2 times across 14 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 10/14recorded league meetings saw both teams score (71.4%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 2league matches away from home unbeaten for Aalesund.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Sarpsborg 08 scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Aalesund scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Sarpsborg 08 have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Aalesund have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Daniel Karlsbakk has the highest listed average xGOT for Sarpsborg 08 at 0.62 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Marcus Reed has the highest listed average xGOT for Aalesund at 0.73 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 9

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
8.6
xG for
8▼ -0.6
Goals
9.2
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
9.3
xG for
12▲ +2.7
Goals
10.0
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Sarpsborg 08Newest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Sarpsborg 08 recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L01.02
2W42.25
3L12.78
4D10.27
5D22.17
6D00.08
AalesundNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Aalesund recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W41.93
2L22.24
3W21.30
4L11.46
5W21.86
6L10.51
Sarpsborg 08 have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 6 points against 7.3 expected. Aalesund have taken more points than their chances were worth: 9 points against 7.8 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Sarpsborg 08 generated 8.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 8, 0.6 below that chance total. Aalesund generated 9.3 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 12, 2.7 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

SAR: 6 matches · AAL: 6
Recent team comparison. Sarpsborg 08 sample 6; Aalesund sample 6.
MeasureSarpsborg 08Aalesund
Goals / game1.332
Conceded / game1.831.67
xG / game1.431.55
xG conceded / game1.531.67
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Sarpsborg 08 v Aalesund

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~15:00
SAR11 starters
87Øy
4Utvik
21Hiim
12Niyukuri
8Christiansen
6Sher
33Hansen
22Halvorsen
11Karlsbakk
10Sörli
17Williams
AAL11 starters
14Charles
3Guðmundsson
2Andresen
5Kjelsen
18Hagen
7Nessø
21Christensen
8Melland
27Reed
15Osenbroch
39Lonebu
Out / doubtful
🩹 Frederik Carstensen injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Sarpsborg 08 v Aalesund · Norwegian Eliteserien ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund?
    Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund takes place on Sunday 25 October at 16:00 (UK time) in the Norwegian Eliteserien.
  • Who is the model backing in Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score — No (btts), with around 38% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Sarpsborg 08 and Aalesund?
    In their last 1 meetings, Sarpsborg 08 won 1, Aalesund won 0, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 1 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Norwegian Eliteserien coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 25 Oct, 16:00 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.