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Norwegian Eliteserien · MW21Ref: Mohammad Usman Aslam
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Fredrikstad 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 result, stats and report

Fredrikstad
Drew · xG 1.77
1 – 1
FT 11:05
Drew · xG 0.27
Sarpsborg 08
Next: Molde v Fredrikstad · Sun 25 Oct · Sarpsborg 08 v Aalesund · Sun 25 Oct
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Who won Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08?

Fredrikstad 1-1 Sarpsborg 08, full time in Norwegian Eliteserien. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Sarpsborg 08 won it.

How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 11:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Fredrikstad 1–1 Sarpsborg 08

Sarpsborg 08 bossed the ball and the chances but had to settle for a point after Fredrikstad refused to buckle, with the game decided inside the first half hour.

Key Takeaways
Result

Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
19'⚽
Max Nilsson
IAssist: Isak Helstad Amundsen
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Fredrikstad 1.77 xGSarpsborg 08 0.27 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Fredrikstad to win

41%Missed

Result

Fredrikstad1:1Sarpsborg 08

FRE v SAR

Our model leaned Fredrikstad to win at 41%. Fredrikstad 1-1 Sarpsborg 08. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 played to a 1-1 draw in the Norwegian Eliteserien. Our model favored a Fredrikstad win at 41% probability, a pick that did not land. Both sides found the net, consistent with Sarpsborg's recent form; the visitors had scored in four of their last five matches. Fredrikstad's recent record showed two wins, one draw and two losses over the same span. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Fredrikstad v Sarpsborg 08 · Norwegian Eliteserien ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Max NilssonFRE★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.9
  2. Samuel Leach HolmFRE77 min7.8
  3. Sondre SørløkkFRE90 min7.4
  4. Daniel EidFRE90 min7.3
  5. Fredrik HolméFRE90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Fredrikstad win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FRE
40.8%
Draw
25.5%
SAR
33.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.8%
Over 2.5 goals
53.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Fredrikstad win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08, landing once across 5 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3/5recorded league meetings saw both teams score (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Sarpsborg 08.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Fredrikstad scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sarpsborg 08 scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Fredrikstad have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sarpsborg 08 have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Fredrik Holmé has the highest listed average xGOT for Fredrikstad at 0.69 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Daniel Karlsbakk has the highest listed average xGOT for Sarpsborg 08 at 0.64 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08?
    FRE and SAR drew 1-1 in the Norwegian Eliteserien.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Max Nilsson opened the scoring in the 19th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Max Nilsson (19'), Olaus Skarsem (28').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Mohammad Usman Aslam officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    FRE vs SAR kicked off on Sunday, 13 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    FRE play Molde on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. SAR play Sarpsborg 08 on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.