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Fredrikstad 1-1 Sarpsborg 08, full time in Norwegian Eliteserien. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Sarpsborg 08 won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Sarpsborg 08 bossed the ball and the chances but had to settle for a point after Fredrikstad refused to buckle, with the game decided inside the first half hour.
Sarpsborg 08 bossed the ball and the chances but had to settle for a point after Fredrikstad refused to buckle, with the game decided inside the first half hour.
Norwegian EliteserienSun 13 Sept, 18:15
Key Takeaways
Result
Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 drew 1-1.
Goals
Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
M
19'⚽
Max Nilsson
IAssist: Isak Helstad Amundsen
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Fredrikstad 1.77 xGSarpsborg 08 0.27 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Fredrikstad to win
41%Missed
Result
1:1
FRE v SAR
Our model leaned Fredrikstad to win at 41%. Fredrikstad 1-1 Sarpsborg 08. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 played to a 1-1 draw in the Norwegian Eliteserien. Our model favored a Fredrikstad win at 41% probability, a pick that did not land. Both sides found the net, consistent with Sarpsborg's recent form; the visitors had scored in four of their last five matches. Fredrikstad's recent record showed two wins, one draw and two losses over the same span. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Fredrikstad v Sarpsborg 08 · Norwegian Eliteserien ·
The provider forecast gives Fredrikstad win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
FRE
40.8%
Draw
25.5%
SAR
33.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.8%
Over 2.5 goals
53.7%
Full-time forecast audit: Fredrikstad win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.