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Norwegian Eliteserien · MW12Ref: Ola Hobber Nilsen

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
2d 10h
MOL 61%Draw 20%FRE 20%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Molde or Fredrikstad?

Molde vs Fredrikstad kicks off UK time in Norwegian Eliteserien. Our model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 67.3% modelled probability.

Match intelligence · not a tip

MOL has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
MOL60.8%
Draw19.6%
FRE19.6%
BTTS yes62.6%

Updated

Over 2.567.2%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Molde and Fredrikstad, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 3/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (75%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 8league matches at home unbeaten for Molde.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Molde scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Fredrikstad scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Molde have averaged 3.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Fredrikstad have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Sander Kilen has the highest listed average xGOT for Molde at 0.82 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Fredrik Holmé has the highest listed average xGOT for Fredrikstad at 0.57 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 9

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
14.5
xG for
20▲ +5.5
Goals
8.4
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
8.2
xG for
10▲ +1.8
Goals
8.6
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
MoldeNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Molde recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W64.09
2D22.87
3L11.92
4W52.42
5W22.17
6W40.99
FredrikstadNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Fredrikstad recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L20.57
2D12.11
3D10.85
4D11.77
5L10.50
6W42.39
Molde have taken more points than their chances were worth: 13 points against 11.6 expected. Fredrikstad have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 6 points against 8.0 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Molde generated 14.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 20, 5.5 above that chance total. Fredrikstad generated 8.2 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 1.8 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

MOL: 6 matches · FRE: 6
Recent team comparison. Molde sample 6; Fredrikstad sample 6.
MeasureMoldeFredrikstad
Goals / game3.331.67
Conceded / game1.51.5
xG / game2.421.37
xG conceded / game1.41.43
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Molde v Fredrikstad

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~17:15
MOL11 starters
22Posiadala
6Amundsen
25Linnes
26Kabini
33Risa
10Breivik
23Granaas
27Daga
8Gulbrandsen
9Abdullaidoubt
11Sery
FRE11 starters
77Børsheim
4Holmé
13Sørløkk
16Eid
28Owusu
3Andresen
6Holm
21Shein
14Nilsson
7Faraas
23Skogvold
Out / doubtful
❓ Jalal Abdullai suspended · 🩹 S. Hansen injury · 🩹 Vebjørn Hoff injury · 🩹 Halldor Stenevik injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Molde v Fredrikstad · Norwegian Eliteserien ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Molde vs Fredrikstad?
    Molde vs Fredrikstad takes place on Sunday 25 October at 18:15 (UK time) in the Norwegian Eliteserien.
  • Who is the model backing in Molde vs Fredrikstad?
    Our model's pick is Over 2.5 goals (totals), with around 67% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • How can I watch Molde vs Fredrikstad?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Norwegian Eliteserien coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Molde vs Fredrikstad free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Molde vs Fredrikstad are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 25 Oct, 18:15 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.