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Eredivisie · MW10 Fortuna Sittard Stadion, SittardRef: Ingmar Oostrom

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
5d 12h
Fortuna Sittard 33%Draw 25%Excelsior 42%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Fortuna Sittard or Excelsior?

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior kicks off UK time in the Eredivisie. The match is at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard. Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 44.6% modelled probability.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Excelsior has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw24.8%
BTTS yes58.9%

Updated

Over 2.557.6%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
4.8
xG for
11▲ +6.2
Goals
11.4
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
8.2
xG for
9▲ +0.8
Goals
11.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Fortuna SittardNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Fortuna Sittard recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D20.44
2D11.01
3W11.42
4L10.65
5W30.39
6W30.93
ExcelsiorNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Excelsior recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L01.11
2L12.08
3D20.58
4L10.89
5D21.84
6W31.69
Fortuna Sittard have taken more points than their chances were worth: 11 points against 5.1 expected. Excelsior have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 5 points against 6.6 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Fortuna Sittard generated 4.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 11, 6.2 above that chance total. Excelsior generated 8.2 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 0.8 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Fortuna Sittard: 6 matches · Excelsior: 6
Recent team comparison. Fortuna Sittard sample 6; Excelsior sample 6.
MeasureFortuna SittardExcelsior
Goals / game1.831.5
Conceded / game22.5
xG / game0.81.37
xG conceded / game1.91.97
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~10:15
Fortuna Sittard11 starters
31Branderhorst
28Hubner
4Adewoye
12Pinto
8Dahlhaus
6Ottele
20Michut
23Brittijn
52Ihattaren
77Tunjic
9Sierhuis
Excelsior11 starters
1Gassel
2Bronkhorst
14Schouten
4Widell
12Zagré
3Meissen
15Janssen
20Hartjes
23Yegoian
30Fernandes
11Regt
Out / doubtful
🩹 Yassin Oukili injury · 🩹 Iván Márquez injury · 🩹 Jasper Dahlhaus injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior · Eredivisie ·

More from this competition: Eredivisie predictions · Eredivisie odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
    Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior takes place on Sunday 25 October at 11:15 (UK time) in the Eredivisie at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard.
  • Who is the model backing in Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
    Our model's pick is Under 2.5 goals (totals), with around 45% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • How can I watch Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Eredivisie coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 25 Oct, 11:15 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.