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Excelsior 1-2 Utrecht, full time in the Eredivisie. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Excelsior won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Utrecht claimed a 2-1 victory at Excelsior in the Eredivisie despite being outworked for large portions of the match, with Dani de Wit's stoppage-time finish settling it after Aymen Sliti had equalised for the hosts.
Utrecht claimed a 2-1 victory at Excelsior in the Eredivisie despite being outworked for large portions of the match, with Dani de Wit's stoppage-time finish settling it after Aymen Sliti had equalised for the hosts.
EredivisieSun 13 Sept, 11:15
Key Takeaways
Result
Utrecht won 2-1 away at Excelsior.
Goals
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
A
36'⚽
Artem Stepanov
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Excelsior 0.89 xGUtrecht 1.46 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Utrecht to win
42%Matched
Result
1:2
Excelsior v Utrecht
Our model called Utrecht to win at 42%. Excelsior 1-2 Utrecht. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Utrecht won 2-1 at Excelsior in an Eredivisie match where our model backed the visitors at 42 percent probability; the pick landed. Excelsior had arrived in strong form with four wins in their last five, yet Utrecht's superior recent BTTS rate of 80 percent proved decisive. The hosts managed a goal but could not find an equalizer in the second half. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Utrecht win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Excelsior
32.0%
Draw
26.2%
Utrecht
41.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.0%
Over 2.5 goals
51.8%
Full-time forecast audit: Utrecht win was the highest probability; the match result was Utrecht win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.