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Eredivisie · MW6 Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, RotterdamRef: Sander van der Eijk
Full time

Excelsior 1-2 Utrecht result, stats and report

Excelsior
Lost · xG 0.89
1 – 2
FT
Won · xG 1.46
Utrecht
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Ajax v Excelsior · Sat 19 Sept · Feyenoord v Utrecht · Sun 20 Sept
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Match report

Utrecht Win 2-1 at Excelsior as Dani de Wit Strikes in Stoppage Time

SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Utrecht came to Rotterdam and nicked it. That is the story. Excelsior dominated large parts of this match, created more, worked harder, and still lost. That is not a tactical curiosity. That is a failure of execution. End of.

The Match in Plain Terms

Artem Stepanov gave Utrecht the lead on 36 minutes with a right-foot finish. Excelsior pressed and prodded throughout the second half, and Aymen Sliti pulled the hosts level on 77 minutes, converting with a right-foot shot, assisted by Agust Orri Thorsteinsson. It looked like Excelsior had earned what they deserved. Then Dani de Wit put a left-foot shot away in the 90th minute, deep into stoppage time, and Utrecht walked away with three points. Excelsior had nothing to show for a performance that, on the numbers, should have yielded more.

What the Numbers Tell You

Listen, I do not need a laptop to read a stat sheet. But sometimes the numbers make your point for you. Excelsior had 56 per cent possession. They made 534 passes to Utrecht's 435. They attempted 24 crosses. They won 44 duels to Utrecht's 37. They made 13 tackles to Utrecht's 7. They had 10 interceptions to Utrecht's 3. Excelsior were the better team for most of this football match. That is not opinion. That is what happened.

The thing is, Utrecht had 12 shots in total to Excelsior's 10. More tellingly, Utrecht created four big chances to Excelsior's one. They hit the woodwork once. Their shot-to-goal conversion was more ruthless. Excelsior had the ball, the territory, and the endeavour. Utrecht had the cutting edge. In a results business, cutting edge wins every time.

Utrecht's Substitutions Changed the Game

Utrecht made three substitutions at the same time on 62 minutes. Marius Broholm, Yoann Cathline, and Sem van Duijn all came on. That is a bold call at 1-0 up with half an hour to play. You are either refreshing the legs or chasing the game. As it turned out, one of those substitutes, Cathline, replaced the goalscorer Stepanov, which is a curious decision when you have an attacker who has already done his job. But the changes did not hurt Utrecht. They saw the game out, and then some.

Excelsior responded on 70 minutes with three of their own. Mario Dominguez came on for David Garden. Simon Janssen replaced Kasey Bos. Valentin Sulzbacher replaced Eric da Silva Moreira. Sulzbacher was booked for a foul just one minute after coming on, at the 71-minute mark. That is not the impact you want from a substitute. That is a lack of discipline. Accountability matters, even when you have just stepped off the bench.

Excelsior's Attitude Was Not the Problem

I want to be clear about one thing. Excelsior's attitude was not the problem here. The basics were largely sound. They competed. They tackled. They pressed. They kept the ball and they created. Sliti's equaliser on 77 minutes showed they had the desire to fight back. Assisted by Thorsteinsson, it was a proper goal that gave the hosts exactly what they had been working for. The crowd would have believed they had done enough. That matters. That is what you want to see.

But football does not reward you for effort alone. It rewards you for finishing. Excelsior created one big chance all match. One. Utrecht created four and missed two of them. The margins are fine in this league and Excelsior paid the price for not being clinical enough when it mattered. You have to take your chances. That is the first rule of competing at this level.

De Wit and the Killer Blow

Dani de Wit's goal in the 90th minute was the defining moment of this match. A left-foot shot in the second minute of stoppage time when the game looked headed for a point each. That is a player with composure and desire in equal measure. Excelsior had two yellow cards over the course of the afternoon. Utrecht had none. Utrecht were more disciplined. Utrecht were more clinical. Utrecht were more composed when it counted. Those three things together are why they are driving home with the points.

Context and Form

Excelsior came into this match in reasonable shape. Across their last five Eredivisie matches they had won three, drawn one, and lost one, scoring 12 goals and conceding 5. The only defeat in that run was a 1-2 loss to PSV Eindhoven, which is no disgrace. They had beaten Willem II 3-0 and Sparta Rotterdam 2-1. This was a team with momentum and standards worth protecting.

Utrecht, on the other hand, had taken no wins from their last five Eredivisie matches coming in, with two draws and three defeats. They had conceded 18 goals in those five games. Utrecht had lost 1-6 to PSV Eindhoven and drawn 3-3 with both GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam. That is a defence that has been all over the place. Yet they kept it tight enough here when they needed to, and punished Excelsior twice. That tells you something about mentality under pressure.

The only previous meeting in this data between the two sides saw Excelsior win 5-0 at home back in April. Utrecht will not have forgotten that. They came here with a point to prove and, whatever their recent form suggested, they proved it.

The Bottom Line

Excelsior did enough to deserve something from this game. They did not do enough to take three points. The difference between those two statements is the difference between a team that competes and a team that wins. Utrecht were not the better side for most of the 90 minutes. But they scored twice and that is what matters. Excelsior need to find a clinical edge to match the effort they are clearly putting in. The attitude is there. The standards have to extend to the final third. Without that, performances like this one will keep ending in defeat.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.