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Eredivisie · MW8 Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, RotterdamRef: Richard Martens
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Excelsior 1-5 FC Groningen result, stats and report

Excelsior
Lost · xG 2.08
1 – 5
FT 01:55
Won · xG 2.57
FC Groningen
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles · Sat 7 Nov · AZ Alkmaar v FC Groningen · Sun 8 Nov
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Who won Excelsior vs FC Groningen?

Excelsior 1-5 FC Groningen, full time in the Eredivisie. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Excelsior to win, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Excelsior won it.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

FC Groningen won it 5–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 01:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Excelsior 1–5 FC Groningen

FC Groningen secured a 5-1 victory over Excelsior in the Eredivisie.

Key Takeaways
Result

FC Groningen won 5-1 away at Excelsior.

Goals

6 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
7'⚽
Marco Rente2 goals in match
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Excelsior 2.08 xGFC Groningen 2.57 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Excelsior to win

41%Missed

Result

Excelsior1:5FC Groningen

Excelsior v FC Groningen

Our model leaned Excelsior to win at 41%. Excelsior 1-5 FC Groningen. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Excelsior's recent form counted for little at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion as FC Groningen dominated to win 5-1. Our model backed Excelsior at 41 percent probability; the pick missed decisively. Groningen struck early through Marco Rente in the seventh minute and never relented. Excelsior converted a penalty from Irakli Yegoian in the thirty-sixth minute, but an own goal by Stijn van Gassel three minutes later shifted momentum entirely toward the visitors. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Excelsior v FC Groningen · Eredivisie ·

More from this competition: Eredivisie predictions · Eredivisie odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Marco RenteFC Groningen★ MOTM2 goals · 90 min9.1
  2. Irakli YegoianExcelsior1 goal · 90 min7.6
  3. Brynjólfur WillumssonFC Groningen1 goal · 84 min7.2
  4. Thijmen BlokzijlFC Groningen90 min7.1
  5. Thom van BergenFC Groningen1 goal · 85 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Excelsior win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Excelsior
40.7%
Draw
24.5%
FC Groningen
34.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.0%
Over 2.5 goals
60.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Excelsior win was the highest probability; the match result was FC Groningen win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For FC Groningen, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 25 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For FC Groningen, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Excelsior, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 25 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Excelsior, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Excelsior and FC Groningen, landing 3 times across 14 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 6/14recorded league meetings saw both teams score (42.9%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Excelsior scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • FC Groningen scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Excelsior have averaged 2.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • FC Groningen have averaged 1.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Excelsior vs FC Groningen?
    FC Groningen beat Excelsior 5-1 in the Eredivisie at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Marco Rente opened the scoring in the 7th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Marco Rente (7'), Irakli Yegoian (36'), Stijn van Gassel (38', og), Thom van Bergen (64'), Brynjólfur Willumsson (67'), Marco Rente (95').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Richard Martens officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Excelsior vs FC Groningen kicked off on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Excelsior to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Excelsior play GO Ahead Eagles on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. FC Groningen play AZ Alkmaar on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.