Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Eredivisie · MW8 Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, RotterdamRef: Richard Martens
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Excelsior 1-5 FC Groningen result, stats and report

Excelsior
Lost · xG 2.08
1 – 5
FT 01:55
Won · xG 2.57
FC Groningen
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles · Sat 7 Nov · AZ Alkmaar v FC Groningen · Sun 8 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ExcelsiorFC GroningenEredivisie

The provider forecast gives Excelsior win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Excelsior
40.7%
Draw
24.5%
FC Groningen
34.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.0%
Over 2.5 goals
60.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Excelsior win was the highest probability; the match result was FC Groningen win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
24%
35%
40.7%Excelsior
24.5%Draw
34.9%FC Groningen

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 62.0%No 38.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%
Yes 60.0%No 40.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Excelsior or draw at 53.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.7%.

Double Chance

1X
53.6%
12
4.6%
X2
41.9%

Half-Time Result

Excelsior
35.5%
Draw
38.2%
FC Groningen
26.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Excelsior
Draw
FC Groningen
Excelsior
27.6%
5.0%
2.7%
Draw
13.9%
14.2%
10.3%
FC Groningen
3.0%
5.9%
17.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.7%
No
92.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.