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NEC Nijmegen generated 8.9 expected goals across 6 matches in the 2026/27 season, whilst conceding 9.9. Their attack differential of 2.1 suggests they created slightly better chances than their underlying performance, whilst their defence differential of 2.1 indicates they conceded marginally fewer high-quality opportunities than expected.
Over the covered period, the club scored 10 goals from 11 expected and allowed 12 goals against 9.9 expected. This suggests finishing efficiency below expectation in attack, whilst defensive performance lagged behind the quality of chances surrendered.
Covered sample: 11 scored from 8.9 xG, 12 conceded from 9.9 xGA over 6 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 5 |
Live 2026/27 table.
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