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Across the 11 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, NEC Nijmegen scored 17 from 18.5 expected goals and conceded 19 from 15.9 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 1.5 goals and the defence conceded 3.1 more than expected. Coverage is 11 of 11 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 17 scored from 18.5 xG, 19 conceded from 15.9 xGA over 11 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 11 | 12 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 11 | 11 |
Live 2026/27 table.
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