Derby Predictions
Recent form
W-L-L-L-W
5 latest covered matches
Latest result
L 1-2 v Sheffield Utd
2 May 2026
Next fixture
v Lincoln City
Sat 8 Aug, 15:00
Availability
No recorded injuries
Missing data is not treated as confirmation
Reference data updated 4 Aug 2026, 04:07 BST
Derby predictions in brief
UpdatedDerby play at home to Lincoln City on Saturday 8 August at 15:00 UK time.
The model prices a Derby win at 34% against a best captured 2.05 with bwin, an implied 48.8%.
A value flag is live on this fixture: the model probability beats the best captured price by 10.5 percentage points. Value flags appear only when the model probability beats the implied probability of the best captured price.
Model outputs, frozen pre-match and never edited. Odds are point-in-time captures. 18+, GambleAware.
Next match: model vs market
Derby to win at home to Lincoln CityModel 34% · implied 48.8%VALUE +10.5pp2.05
Both teams to score: YesModel 50%50%
Over 2.5 goalsModel 45%45%
Most likely scorelineFrom the correct-score probability grid1-1 · 13%
Value flags appear only when the model probability beats the implied probability of the best captured price. Model outputs are frozen pre-match and never edited.
Prices are point-in-time captures from UKGC-licensed bookmakers and move. Past performance does not guarantee future results. We are not a bookmaker. 18+, GambleAware.