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Eredivisie · MW8 Stadion Galgenwaard, UtrechtRef: Jannick van der Laan
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Utrecht 3-1 Willem II result, stats and report

Utrecht
Won · xG 1.40
3 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.70
Willem II
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Telstar v Utrecht · Sun 1 Nov · PSV Eindhoven v Willem II · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

UtrechtWillem IIEredivisie

The provider forecast gives Utrecht win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.1%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Utrecht
53.1%
Draw
24.2%
WIL
22.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.5%
Over 2.5 goals
56.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Utrecht win was the highest probability; the match result was Utrecht win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

53%
24%
23%
53.1%Utrecht
24.2%Draw
22.7%WIL

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.5%No 43.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 56.4%No 43.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Utrecht or draw at 54.5%; the most likely half-time state is Utrecht leading at half-time at 38.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.4%.

Double Chance

1X
54.5%
12
6.0%
X2
39.5%

Half-Time Result

Utrecht
38.3%
Draw
35.6%
WIL
26.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Utrecht
Draw
WIL
Utrecht
30.0%
6.5%
3.5%
Draw
13.1%
12.1%
9.6%
WIL
3.5%
5.9%
15.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.4%
No
88.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.