Eredivisie · MW8Sun, 11 Oct 2026 Stadion Galgenwaard, UtrechtRef: Jannick van der Laan

Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Utrecht 3-1 Willem II result, stats and report

Utrecht

Won · xG 1.40

3 – 1

Willem II

Lost · xG 0.70

The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.

Next: Telstar v Utrecht · Sun 1 Nov · PSV Eindhoven v Willem II · Sat 31 Oct

How the model called it

3 of 3 right

Utrecht53.1%Right

Draw24.2%

WIL22.7%

Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 56.4%, so the model leaned overRight

Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 56.6%, so the model leaned yesRight

Published Tip · settled

Immutable ledger

DrawPublished 4 Oct, 03:55 · before kick-offLost

Logged at 4.75 with Betfair Sportsbook

Betfair Sportsbook offered 4.75 when we checked at 01:05 on 11 Oct.

The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.

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Table impact

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Utrecht11th15th → 11th
WIL18thNo change

After 10 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.

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Pick outcome

Under 2.5 goalsLost

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Closing line valueSettled per row

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Utrecht 3-1 Willem II result, stats and report

Historical player-prop market

How the model called it

Published Tip · settled

Table impact

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